I'm John Gatsu with Anna Told even my comrade he's at the Quincy Institute for

Responsible Statecraft and these last months he's been traveling in one place he stopped to admire the old

European charm and the new building and the geopolitical quandary is Georgia, not the state of Georgia, this is the country of Georgia in the South Caucasus.

There is a vote coming October 26th, but from an analysis that Anatole provides and the people he talked to when he was there

were looking at another crisis triggered by a vote because there are clearly two factions. There's the opposition, there's the

government. And if the government wins, and until your information is that the opposition

will speak out loudly that it was

corrupt elections something like Venezuela and that the NGOs whom I presume

are in contact with NATO and other Western powers.

The NGOs will side with the opposition.

So are we on the eve of Georgia being in strife?

Yes, I mean. in strife?

Yes, I mean, I think to judge by my conversations and information is virtually certain that there will be a major political crisis around and

after the next elections. The opposition will definitely allege that the vote was rigged. It should be remembered by the way that they did that during the last or after the last presidential elections as well.

Although in fact, those were certified by Western observers as having been, you know, generally

free and the result was legitimate. The ruling party, Georgia, Georgian Dream, have won the last three elections by large majorities.

Partly because the opposition is very divided and the biggest opposition party

is deeply disliked and

disrusted by some of the others.

So they find it very difficult to cooperate.

If all the opposition parties formed one, you know, effect of United Block, they might be able to win.

The Georgian Dream is much bigger than any individual opposition party.

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