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Grant’s Current Yield Podcast

Freshly seasoned

Grant’s Current Yield Podcast

Grant's Financial Publishing, INc.

Investing, Business, Stockmarkets, Financeexpertjimgrantoninvestment, Realestatefederalreserve, News, Business News

4.6693 Ratings

🗓️ 25 June 2019

⏱️ 30 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Dan Fuss, vice chairman of Loomis, Sayles & Company and fixed income investor extraordinaire, calls in to discuss the state of markets in 2019. @LoomisSayles www.loomissayles.com

https://www.linkedin.com/company/loomis-sayles-&-company/

https://www.facebook.com/pages/Loomis-Sayles/309712695756188

1:36 A rate-hike shock collar

8:12 Negative rates and the nature of safety

17:07 The 1984 bear market retest: Symmetry?

22:44 The “flow of funds phenomenon”

27:00 Dan’s positioning

Subscribe to Grant’s Podcast on iTunes, Stitcher, iHeart Radio and Google Play Music. Grant’s Interest Rate Observer is available at http://www.grantspub.com

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to current yield grants, interest rate observer of the air.

0:10.7

I am Jim Grant, with me, as always, Eric Whitehead, our engineer, and I'm just a control panel guy.

0:17.9

And the great Evan Lorenz, the deputy editor of grants, is with us as always. And today,

0:24.1

oh, today, I'm not going to forget this, we have Dan Fuss, who has 61 years buying low and

0:30.5

selling high in the bond market. He is, I think, among the longest serving participants in the

0:36.5

world fixed income markets.

0:38.1

And this is a day of all days to have Dan Fuss on our broadcast, Evan.

0:41.8

I mean, who else, right?

0:43.5

It feels like an unprecedented time to me, but again, I've not been around for as long as he has.

0:47.2

Well, I've been around, almost.

0:49.3

I'm going to tell Dan about some of my recollections of the year, 1958, that's when he started.

0:54.5

That was the year, of course, a sad year in Brooklyn because the Dodgers had moved to L.A.

0:59.1

and stuff.

1:00.8

There's things going on the bond market, too.

1:02.8

But speaking of the markets before Dan comes and talks to us, I want to reprise something that I sit on the air at CNBC this morning, as I was squawk

1:13.0

box and very grateful to be on this, what turns out to be a really, really, well, metast

1:18.1

day in markets. My goodness, I mean, rocking and rolling. Everything's green and levitating

1:23.4

owing to Wednesday's decision by the Fed to not cut its little funds rate, but actually to,

1:29.8

right? It was kind of an announcement, right? Well, yeah, that's how the market's taken it.

1:33.2

If you look at the Fed Fund's futures curve, there's 100% probability of a rate cut in the next

1:37.6

meeting and every meeting thereafter. And they're expecting more than one cut. I mean, right now,

1:41.5

the effective Fed funds rate is about 2.37%.

...

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