4.4 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 2 December 2019
⏱️ 21 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | From Goldman Sachs research, this is Alison Nathan. |
| 0:03.0 | Welcome to Top of Mind, a podcast that explores macroeconomic issues on the minds of our clients. |
| 0:14.0 | In this episode, we explore whether governments should be doing more to boost the economy |
| 0:23.6 | by either directly spending more money in the economy, for example, by funding public infrastructure, |
| 0:29.6 | or by cutting taxes so that people or companies have more money to spend themselves. |
| 0:34.6 | The counterpart to these types of fiscal policies conducted by governments is monetary |
| 0:39.9 | policy conducted by central banks. |
| 0:42.7 | This is typically the first line of defense when economic growth slows because central banks |
| 0:47.4 | can quickly react by lowering interest rates and taking other measures that work to boost |
| 0:52.3 | activity. |
| 0:53.3 | But the problem today is that monetary policy is nearly exhausted in most major economies, |
| 0:59.1 | with interest rates very low globally, despite the fact that growth and inflation remain disappointing. |
| 1:05.1 | So there are now growing calls for fiscal policy to play a bigger role to support growth, especially in Europe. |
| 1:11.6 | Here's Mario Draghi, the former president of the European Central Bank, |
| 1:15.6 | during his farewell remarks in October. |
| 1:17.6 | Today we are in a situation where low interest rates are not delivering the same degree of stimulus as in the past, |
| 1:26.6 | because the rate of return on investment in the economy |
| 1:30.3 | has fallen. Monetary policy can still achieve its objective, but it can do so faster and with |
| 1:38.3 | fewer side effects if fiscal policies are aligned with it. This call for fiscal expansion might seem like a no-brainer. |
| 1:48.0 | But the downside is that if governments spend more money or taken less revenue by cutting taxes, |
| 1:54.0 | they're likely going to end up running a budget deficit, and especially if the deficit is large, |
| 1:59.0 | could end up with high debt levels. |
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