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Afford Anything

First Friday: Jerome Powell's Remarks at Jackson Hole

Afford Anything

Paula Pant | Cumulus Podcast Network

Investing, Business, Entrepreneurship

4.63.4K Ratings

🗓️ 5 September 2025

⏱️ 19 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

#640: The jobs report came out this morning and it was a painful one. The US added only 22,000 new jobs in August, according to the latest BLS report. And unemployment ticked up to 4.3%. What does this mean? Find out in today's First Friday episode! Timestamps: Note: Timestamps will vary on individual listening devices based on dynamic advertising run times. The provided timestamps are approximate and may be several minutes off due to changing ad lengths. (01:48) ADP vs BLS Jobs Data (04:33) Mortgage Rates & Their Impact on Homebuyers and Sellers (11:30) Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s Remarks (12:54) The Fed’s Dual Mandate Explained (15:58) The Fed’s Changing Approach to Unemployment (18:13) Implications: Rate Cuts on the Table For more information, visit the show notes at https://affordanything.com/episode640 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

The jobs report came out this morning, and it was a painful one. The U.S. added only 22,000 new jobs in August, according to the latest BLS report.

0:08.7

And unemployment ticked up to 4.3%. What does this mean? While we already knew with over 90% certainty that the Fed was going to lower interest rates at their meeting later this month, September 17 to 18, we now, even though

0:22.7

we already knew that was going to happen, we now have a much stronger case for it. In fact, I think

0:28.1

the question can be asked, are they going to lower interest rates only by 25 basis points, a quarter

0:32.4

of a percentage point, or will they lower it by half a percentage point? I think there could be a

0:37.0

case made for that.

0:38.1

So we're going to discuss all of that in today's first Friday, monthly economic update.

0:43.4

Welcome to the Afford Anything podcast, the show that knows you can afford anything, not everything.

0:48.3

The show covers five pillars, financial psychology, increasing your income, investing, real estate, and entrepreneurship.

0:53.3

It's double-eye fire. Typically, every Tuesday, we answer, real estate, and entrepreneurship. It's double eye fire. Typically, every Tuesday we answer listener submitted questions and every Friday we

0:58.8

interview a guest. But there's one exception, and that is the first Friday of every month,

1:03.7

in which on the first Friday, which is the same day that the jobs report comes out, we dedicate

1:08.9

an episode to a macroeconomic look at what's happening in the economy.

1:13.5

So welcome to the September 2025 first Friday episode.

1:19.4

Okay, so no one was really expecting the jobs report to be this bad. I mean, we know that the

1:24.1

May and June jobs report numbers were revised downwards to 14,000 and 19,000

1:29.4

respectively. We also know, of course, that the former head of the BLS lost her job as a result of

1:35.2

such dramatic downward revisions. In spite of those two elements, we did have positive news

1:42.4

that came from the ADP report.

1:48.2

As a reminder, ADP is a private payroll processing company.

1:50.9

Every month, in advance of the BLS numbers,

1:54.7

ADP releases their own report that uses actual payroll data from approximately 460,000 companies,

...

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