meta_pixel
Tapesearch Logo
Log in
Wall Street Breakfast

Fed seen ending the year with a cut

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business, Investing, Business News, News

3.8950 Ratings

🗓️ 7 December 2025

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The market expects a quarter-point rate cut, but lots of dissents. (0:22) Two big AI names report earnings: Oracle and Broadcom. (1:23) Michael Burry says OpenAI is Netscape. (2:42)

Show Notes 
Earnings Calendar
Dividend Roundup

Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb. Sign up for our daily newsletter here and for full access to analyst ratings, stock quant scores, dividend grades, subscribe to Seeking Alpha Premium at seekingalpha.com/subscriptions.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this week's

0:09.9

market-moving events, along with the weekend's top news and analysis.

0:14.2

Hello, I'm your host Kim Kahn, and today is Sunday, December 7th.

0:18.7

A date which will live in infamy.

0:23.2

It's the last Fed week of the year, and markets expect another quarter-point rate cut on

0:27.2

Wednesday. Fed Fund's futures now price in an 85% chance that the FOMC lowers rates

0:32.4

by 25 basis points to 3.5 to 3.75%.

0:36.7

Expectations for easing of surge since the last meeting,

0:39.5

despite Powell's hawkish tone, largely on concerns about the weakening jobs market, even as

0:44.0

key data has been delayed or canceled due to the government shutdown. But there's a significant

0:48.3

wrinkle. Reuters notes that based on Fed speak, five of the 12 voting members are against

0:53.0

further easing. That would mark an unprecedented number of dissents and likely produce a wide dispersion

0:58.1

in the dot plot.

0:59.2

Whilst Fargo says the FOMC appears unusually divided, but sees a critical mass of support

1:03.9

to carry the day for the doves.

1:05.2

They expect multiple descents with the 2026 median dot holding at 3.375%, and Powell signaling for a higher bar for more

1:13.6

cuts, hinting it a January hold. Meanwhile, B of A strategist Michael Hartnett argues that a dovish cut

1:19.2

that sends long-end yields higher is the only thing that could stop a Santa Claus rally. On the earnings

1:24.5

front, two major AI names are set to issue numbers, hyperscaler Oracle, and chipmaker

1:29.3

Broadcom. Oracle reports Wednesday with a street looking for EPS of 164 on revenue of 16.2 billion.

1:36.5

Last week, Wells Fargo initiated coverage with an overweight and a $280-dollar price target,

1:41.3

citing nearly $500 billion in AI-related deals.

...

Transcript will be available on the free plan in 20 days. Upgrade to see the full transcript now.

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Seeking Alpha, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of Seeking Alpha and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.

Copyright © Tapesearch 2025.