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Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

Expectations Investing Part 2: General Motors to Nvidia

Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing

The Motley Fool

Investing, Business

4.33.1K Ratings

🗓️ 9 September 2023

⏱️ 32 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

What does an investor have to believe for today’s share price to make sense?  Ricky Mulvey and Asit Sharma continue their conversation about Expectations Investing, applying the framework to four companies with different growth outlooks. They discuss: - Value drivers for a mature automaker. - A high-growth payment processing company experiencing a narrative shift.  - If Nvidia can maintain its moat over the long-term. Companies discussed: GM, CP, ADYEY, NVDA Host: Ricky Mulvey Guest: Asit Sharma Engineer: Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Their idea is that when you've got this nice return that's well above your your

0:07.2

cost of capital. You actually attract competition and there is this finite

0:13.1

time in which that edge dissipates and you're driven to eventual returns that

0:19.4

almost equal your cost of capital.

0:24.1

I'm Ricky Mulvey and that's Motley Fool Senior Analyst, Osset Charma. On today's

0:29.0

show, Osset takes the expectations investing framework to four companies. We go

0:33.7

from General Motors all the way to Nvidia. In between we've also got a uniquely

0:38.7

positioned railroad company and a fast growing payment processor that's

0:42.7

recently taken a hit. Osset gave us an introduction to expectations investing

0:47.5

on Thursday's show so I'd recommend starting there if you haven't but this

0:51.9

show will still make sense if you have not had a chance to listen to Thursday's

0:55.5

episode yet.

0:59.3

Let's get into the case studies and I think a good place to start is General

1:04.3

Motors. Osset, if I told you a story about an electric car maker that now has

1:11.1

fully self-driving cars on the road they are licensed to give rides in multiple

1:17.0

cities across the United States. You might guess that its stock price would be

1:22.5

better than flat over the past five years. Investors have basically received

1:28.0

nothing in terms of price appreciation and basically a 1% dividend for you to

1:35.4

wait. What do you think is the story that the market is telling about General

1:41.6

Motors right now? It seems very disconnected to me. I think the market is making

1:49.0

some assumptions about General Motors cash flows that could be reasonable.

1:55.4

Again, we'll take this from an expectations investing framework or point of

...

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