4.7 • 984 Ratings
🗓️ 29 March 2025
⏱️ 16 minutes
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Silicon Valley is in more trouble than I think people are talking about...
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0:00.0 | Hey, everybody. So here are my thoughts on this whole Silicon Valley decoupling thing. |
0:10.4 | I was going to just do this as a little rant at the end of an episode this week, but it kept |
0:15.8 | growing and growing as I was writing it. So I figured why not just do the whole thing? Here you go. |
0:23.1 | I think there's a fundamental structural advantage that Silicon Valley and the U.S. tech industry |
0:28.4 | has enjoyed for 30 years that might be on the verge of breaking down, and I don't think |
0:32.8 | enough people are thinking about this. Tech has become monolithic, right? It's eaten the world. |
0:39.9 | Tech is now 40% of the S&P 500. |
0:44.0 | The magnificent seven companies alone, alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, |
0:45.8 | Nvidia, and Tesla by themselves. |
0:48.4 | Account for 35% of the U.S. stock market. |
0:53.6 | Individual tech companies have market caps bigger than the GDP of entire countries. By some estimates, the gap in |
0:55.7 | GDP growth between Europe and the U.S. is entirely due to tech. We know this. The entire world |
1:02.7 | uses Silicon Valley's products and services. The modern world literally runs on the innovation |
1:07.0 | Silicon Valley has produced. Why has this happened? Well, one reason that is so obvious |
1:12.4 | people don't think about it much is that in a way, for 30 years, Silicon Valley has had a monopoly |
1:17.5 | on the tech stack and the innovation stack that covered the whole world. The world uses our phones, |
1:23.1 | our operating systems, our computers, our social networks, our servers, our cloud, our streaming |
1:26.9 | video and music services. Modern Silicon Valley exploded in the 1990s right after the Cold War ended, |
1:32.9 | and Silicon Valley piggybacked on the fact that the whole world was open to trade, and America was |
1:37.0 | the sole superpower, and there wasn't really any other competition for our tech products beyond |
1:42.1 | maybe Japan and South Korea. And besides exceptions like |
1:45.2 | China, literally the whole world was open to our products. Sure, our stuff was manufactured |
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