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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Equity Bear Market: A Paradigm Shift?

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Goldman Sachs

Business

4.41K Ratings

🗓️ 21 June 2022

⏱️ 26 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Against a challenging backdrop of sky-high inflation, rising rates and growing recession concerns, the S&P 500 has had an undeniably grim start to the year, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq and unprofitable growth companies performing even more dismally. In the latest episode of Exchanges at Goldman Sachs, host Allison Nathan turns to three equity market heavyweights — Cathie Wood, Founder, CEO, and CIO of ARK Invest; Cliff Asness, Founder and CIO of AQR Capital Management; and David Kostin, GS Chief U.S. Equity Strategist — for their thoughts on where equities are heading from here and what that means for investors. This episode is based on Allison Nathan's Top of Mind report.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Against a backdrop of sky high inflation, rising rates, and growing recession concerns, the

0:05.9

S&P 500 has had an undeniably grim start to the year.

0:10.4

With the tech heavy NASDAQ and unprofitable growth companies performing even more dismally.

0:15.6

But are these moves just a rate story? After all, the Fed continues to increase rates at a pace that seemed unimaginable only a few months ago, and the higher

0:26.0

rates go, the bigger the discount you might expect for tech companies who are only expected

0:31.3

to make earnings far into the future,

0:33.2

or are the equity markets in the midst of a more lasting paradigm shift?

0:37.8

These questions are top of mind.

0:39.8

I'm Allison Nathan and this is exchanges at Goldman Sachs.

0:47.0

On this special episode of exchanges at Goldman Sachs, we're breaking down my most recent top of mind report.

0:53.7

Amid the sharp sell of inequities,

0:55.7

we turned to perspectives from three longtime market heavyweights,

0:59.3

Kathywood of Arken Best, Cliff Asnes of AQR capital management, and our chief U.S. equity strategist David

1:06.2

Kosten.

1:07.2

Kathy Wood, who's closely followed ARC ETS of innovative high-growth companies,

1:12.4

has plummeted this year, argues that this

1:15.0

sell-off is mostly due to the rates move, but that the era of growth equity leadership

1:19.7

is far from over, in large part because inflationary headwinds are starting to ease.

1:24.8

We have been saying for some time that the inflation we're seeing now is a one-shot shock to the system and it lasted a lot longer than we

1:38.8

expected. I've never seen supply chain issues take this long,

1:42.5

almost two years to work out.

1:44.9

And we never expected Russia to invade Ukraine.

...

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