4.4 • 15.6K Ratings
🗓️ 8 January 2026
⏱️ 55 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | Jobless claims, and of course, these are for the weekend in January 3rd, so there are potential seasonality issues here. |
| 0:07.8 | 208,000. That's a bit below estimates. Last week's 199 pops back over 200,000. |
| 0:14.9 | Suffice it to say, these are really well-behaved initial jobless claims. |
| 0:18.9 | On the continuing side, always a week in arrears. |
| 0:22.5 | These are the weekending December 27th. |
| 0:25.3 | So once again, there are seasonal issues here. |
| 0:28.2 | 1,914,000, very close to estimates. |
| 0:32.2 | Last week, well, we remained under 1.9 million. |
| 0:35.4 | The 1,866 becomes 1,858,000. |
| 0:39.4 | Also well behaved as we dabbled between being above and below 1.9 million. |
| 0:45.1 | Let's look at productivity, shall we? |
| 0:47.1 | The secret salve of the U.S. economy, what Greenspan called the special sauce. |
| 0:51.8 | Well, this is the third quarter preliminary. |
| 0:53.9 | There will be changes. |
| 0:55.3 | 4.9% extremely close to estimates and a really solid number. |
| 1:01.5 | In the rearview mirror, 3.3 becomes 4.1 for the last quarter's final. |
| 1:06.9 | So 4.9? |
| 1:08.7 | Wow, you have to go a long way back to find a higher number. |
| 1:11.9 | We have to go all the way back to the third quarter of 2020. |
| 1:15.8 | Productivity is great. |
| 1:17.1 | And if we look at unit labor costs, unit labor costs come in, well, 1.9, down 1.9. |
| 1:24.2 | That's a minus sign. |
... |
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