Episode 359: How To Win In Golf Fantasy & Betting with Rufus Peabody

Establish The Run Fantasy Football

Fantasy Football

Sports, Fantasy Sports

4.7 • 1.5K Ratings

🗓️ 1 April 2022

⏱️ 48 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Rufus Peabody of Unabated is one of the best golf bettors in the world. He talks to Adam Levitan about how he does it and the projections he's providing for the new ETR Golf product.

If you want to get better at Sports Betting, check out Unabated HERE!

In this episode, we discuss:

Modeling golf
What stats matter
DFS Golf
Why give out info?

Links mentioned in the episode:

Want the information you need to win at DFS Golf?

We’ve got you covered with:

Rufus Peabody’s base and ceiling projections
Rufus' odds to make the cut for each golfer
Live Show with Adam Levitan, Peter Jennings, and a rotating group of guests including Rufus
Ownership projections
Tons more

All in one place. Check us out at https://establishtherun.com/subscribe-golf/

Additionally, we have worked out a SPECIAL deal with BETMGM. Sign up for a new account with the below link and they will email you an $84.99 coupon to use on any ETR product. The coupon is good for one year.

SIGN-UP LINK: https://promo.co.betmgm.com/en/promo/sports/establish-the-run-nba?wm=7074948

After signing up for BetMGM, please follow these four steps:

Make a deposit of at least $10 (must be a new MGM user)
Place your first wager (also eligible for MGM’s $1k risk-free bet)
Receive email from MGM with special promo code worth $84.99.
Head to ETR subscribe page, choose your subscription, and redeem code (can be used on anything but is equal to 1-month of NBA)

- Follow ETR on Twitter - https://twitter.com/EstablishTheRun

- Follow Adam on Twitter - https://twitter.com/adamlevitan

- Follow Evan on Twitter - https://twitter.com/evansilva

Timestamps:

(0:59) - Introducing ETR Golf

(2:11) - Rufus’ journey to Golf

(4:18) - Is tracking Golf easier than other sports?

(5:43) - Stories from gambling on Golf

(7:35) - Explaining the simulation approach

(11:23) - How injuries impact the simulation

(15:16) - Correlation in Golf

(21:37) - Does course history matter?

(25:01) - Can you project putting?

(28:22) - Long-term vs. Short-term form

(30:51) - Handling variance from favorites in Golf DFS

(35:47) - How Golf betting drives DFS ownership

(39:14) - Why share the process now?

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0	Hello and welcome to episode 359 of the official established the run dot com podcast.
0:22.0	My name is Adam Levittan and today we are joined by a very very special guest.
0:27.9	You all know him as an old friend of the show.
0:30.1	I believe this is his third or fourth time on the show.
0:32.6	You know him as the guy who got screwed out of a million dollars in the inaugural draft
0:36.8	king sports betting championship a few years ago.
0:39.3	I know him as the world's best golf better.
0:42.5	He recently launched his own betting analytics site on abated dot com and now now part of
0:48.9	the newly launched golf team here at ETR.
0:52.8	It is of course professional sports better.
0:55.3	Rufus Peabody Rufus has gone.
0:57.8	Let's go on today's show we are going to talk through golf and how to predict what will
1:03.9	happen out there inside the ropes each week before we get into that wanted to let everyone
1:09.6	know that this show is brought to you by the newly launched ETR golf product.
1:16.9	You know we've been really really hesitant to launch any new sports beyond NFL and NBA
1:22.3	because frankly it's hard right like it's just really hard to provide value to provide
1:25.8	information that people actually need to win.
1:28.7	But once we were able to work with Rufus on this project and leverage his data his projections
1:34.4	for DFS.
1:35.4	It was just a no brainer to launch it our product which you can find on the site right
1:40.2	now for purchase and we'll be ready for the masters next week.
1:43.5	Our product will have Rufus's mean projection for each golfer ceiling projection and odds
	...

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