Episode 169: How to Win March Madness Pools
Establish The Run Fantasy Football
Fantasy Football
4.8 • 1.4K Ratings
🗓️ 12 March 2021
⏱️ 44 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Adam Levitan is joined by Jason Lisk and David Hess of TeamRankings to discuss optimal strategy for NCAA Tournament bracket pools. Much like in DFS tournaments or Best Ball, there's a lot more than just "picking the right players."
Editor's Note: To get a discount on TeamRankings' NCAA Tournament win probability model, picks to advance, public pick percentage and more, go to http://www.teamrankings.com/etr.
TIMESTAMPS: The right bracket strategy (1:50) | Approaching standard bracket pools (5:13 ) | Projecting bracket ownership (8:31) | Taking every favourites (13:09) | Projecting future round win probability (16:28) | Using final four odds to project wins (23:13) | Undervalued teams (25:29) | COVID bracket adjustment (28:28) | How strong are the top teams? (35:01) | Winners and best value (39:42) |
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Hello and welcome to episode 169 of the official EstablishTheRun.com podcast, my name |
| 0:22.9 | is Adam Levittin. |
| 0:23.9 | I'm one of the co-finders here at ETR and March Madness, yes. |
| 0:27.7 | The NCA tournament starts Thursday and while I would say I'm not overly interested |
| 0:32.7 | in teams and players, etc. I am very interested in the strategy behind the optimal strategy |
| 0:38.4 | behind all the bracket pools that I know everybody is playing for that. |
| 0:43.1 | I am joined by some guys who have been using a data driven approach for bracket pool |
| 0:47.1 | strat. |
| 0:48.1 | For a long time now, it is Jason Lisk and David Hess from TeamReckons.com. |
| 0:52.3 | Jason, how's it going? |
| 0:54.3 | Going very good. |
| 0:55.3 | How you doing Adam? |
| 0:56.3 | Doing well. |
| 0:57.3 | I'm ready for March Madness. |
| 0:58.3 | David, what's happening? |
| 0:59.3 | Great. |
| 1:00.3 | I'm pretty good, other than making up a 545 every morning about my kids. |
| 1:07.6 | In full disclosure, we did this pod one year ago last year. |
| 1:11.2 | I thought it went really well. |
| 1:12.2 | I thought it was going to really help people in very informative and then within, I don't |
| 1:16.5 | know, 12 hours or 24 hours after we finished the pod, the NCA tournament was canceled due |
| 1:22.2 | to COVID. |
... |
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