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Establish The Run Fantasy Football

Episode 122: Solo Pod Week 6 Recap, The Big Dog Eats

Establish The Run Fantasy Football

Fantasy Football

Fantasy Sports, Sports

4.81.4K Ratings

🗓️ 20 October 2020

⏱️ 22 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Adam Levitan returns to recap a Week 6 which was dominated by The Big Dog, Derrick Henry. Adam discusses why handling Henry is so hard in DFS, talks about how leverage won the money and answers a 7-pack of listener Qs.


Editor's Note:
We are currently running a Rest of Season sale! Promo code PRINTFEST40 at checkout for $40 off a rest of season purchase. Head to www.EstablishTheRun.com for details.

TIMESTAMPS: Week 6 Recap (0:26) | Adam’s Slate Review (4:10) | Punting on Tight Ends (6:35) | Adam’s Tournament teams (7:41)| Listener Questions (10:00)

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm going to go and Hello and welcome to episode 122 of the official, Establish the run

0:21.6

dot-com podcast. My name is Adam Levitan I'm the

0:24.4

father of the most beautiful beast in the world Jerry and we are coming off of a big

0:28.0

dog week yes that's right the week six slate came down to Derek Henry and it wasn't even December yet.

0:35.1

Henry was around 26% owned in tournaments and roughly the same in cash and

0:41.6

honestly Derek Henry has probably been the single player who has given me the most

0:46.4

problems in DFS over the last few years and let me try to talk through why.

0:52.0

First of all he's just such a massive outlier like we don't

0:55.5

see NFL teams build entire offenses around 250 pound two down power backs anymore. We

1:01.8

also don't see running backs break off long, and I mean long, like 70 plus yard touchdown runs at such a high rate.

1:09.5

But even at that

1:13.3

the outlier rate that Henry breaks them off at note that Henry's

1:13.6

longest run this season you know his first four games was only 16

1:16.5

yards like these long runs just don't happen very often our eyes deceive us

1:20.4

but we remember them.

1:22.6

The second thing is he's not game flow independent.

1:27.0

I mean, he just isn't.

1:27.8

When they were in the two minute drill,

1:28.8

when the Titans were in the two minute drill,

1:30.1

it was Jeremy McNeil's.

1:32.2

On most of their downs, Henry is on the sidelines. He has a total of 24

1:36.4

catches in his last 20 games. So in game flows that go sideways for the Titans and you have Derek Henry you're just dusted. The third thing I would say

...

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