EP 408- FIDE World Championship Mega Preview- Talking Ding Liren with GM Davorin Kuljasevic, Gukesh with IM Cyrus Lakdawala and Match Statistics with NM Matt Jensen

Perpetual Chess Podcast

Perpetual Chess LLC

Sports, Leisure, Hobbies

4.8 • 678 Ratings

🗓️ 12 November 2024

⏱️ 75 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

It is World Championship season again! The FIDE World championship takes place from November 25 to December 13, in Singapore. As you probably know, GM Ding Liren will be defending his title against 18 year old wunderkind, GM Gukesh D. This is a unique matchup which features a fast-rising top 5 challenger, and a slumping World Champion who has fallen out of the top 20. Joining me to discuss it are three separate guests in the following order: Top trainer, author, and Ding Liren biographer, GM Davorin Kuljasevic shares his match thoughts. How does Ding’s recent play differ from that of “peak Ding?” Author of From Boy to Man to Challenger: The Fiercest Battles of Gukesh D , IM Cyrus Lakdawala on why he thinks Gukesh has a chance to be an all-time great. Statistician, and co-founder of Chessgoals.com, NM Matt Jensen on the betting markets, the likelihood of a tiebreak, and one key statistical factor that favors Gukesh. Chatting about the World Championship always gets me excited for the match, and this year is no exception. Timestamps for guests and topics discussed is below. Thanks to our sponsors, Chessable.com. If you sign up for Chessable Pro, please use the following link to help support Perpetual Chess: https://www.chessable.com/pro/?utm_source=affiliate&utm_medium=benjohnson&utm_campaign=pro 0:00- Intro- Intro and Match facts 0:06- GM Davorin Kuljasevic joins to discuss GM Ding Liren, as well as his general thoughts on the match. 0:12- What openings might we expect? Which seconds might he be working with? Mentioned: GM Eugene Perelshteyn’s Tweet: https://x.com/EugenePerel/status/1850321592678555941 World Championship bettings odds here: https://sports.bwin.com/en/sports/events/fide-world-championship-2024-15724987 23:00- Thanks to GM Kuljasevic for joining me, you can get his book on GM Ding Liren here 25:00- IM Cyrus Lakdawala joins to discuss GM D Gukesh Mentioned: From Boy to Man to Challenger: The Fiercest Battles of Gukesh D 35:00- Cyrus’ match predictions 39:00- Gukesh opening predictions 49:00- Cyrus’ upcoming projects 51:00- Statistician and NM Matt Jensen of Chessgoals.com joins to give a statistical preview to the match. 58:00- What is the expected draw rate for this match? What are the odds of a tiebreak? 1:08:00- What is new with Matt’s website Chessgoals? Check out the Chcessgoals ourses here, Use the code Ben2024 to save 30%: https://courses.chessgoals.com/collections/ Check out their podcast “No Pawn Intended” on the Chessgoals YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@ChessGoals If you would like to help support Perpetual Chess via Patreon, you can do so here: https://www.patreon.com/c/perpetualchess Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	Hello, everyone, and welcome back to Perpetual Chesk.
0:07.2	And you believe it is time for another World Championship match preview.
0:12.1	The world championship between Ding Loren and Goukesh, of course, is taking place in November,
0:18.4	on November 23rd to December 13th in Singapore.
0:22.7	What we're going to do, as usual, is go through a few of the sort of factual details,
0:27.7	what time of day the matches are the time control format, stuff like that.
0:31.3	And then we've got three different guests here to talk about it.
0:34.5	We've got Grandmaster Davorn Koyoseich, who of course wrote Ding Loren's best
0:39.1	game, so Nose Ding's games inside and out. He's first up. Then we have Cyrus Lakdewala, who's got a new
0:44.7	biography out on Goukesh, discussing what he learned from annotating 70 of Gukesh's games and what makes
0:51.3	Gukesh so special, and he thinks actually possibly an all-time great.
0:56.0	And then I always like to look at the match from a statistical angle as well.
1:00.0	And coming back to join us and how preview it is National Master Matt Jensen of chess goals.
1:06.0	Matt always does great work around the probabilities based on different ratings. And he's got some hot takes on what he thinks could happen in this particular match.
1:16.9	So as always, the timestamps of the guests and of my jibber-jabber are in the description.
1:23.4	So if you'd like to skip ahead to the interviews, go ahead.
1:25.2	But I did want to share a few details, some of which I didn't know about this match until I started to dig in.
1:31.6	Number one, the games are at a rough time for those of us in the United States.
1:35.9	The games are at 5 p.m. Singapore time, but that's 4 a.m. Eastern time here in the U.S., which actually for classical chess, for me personally, it's not that bad,
1:45.6	because if I get up at 7 a.m., it's like the opening phase is coming to an end. I wish it were
1:50.4	a little bit later, but you do, I will get to see the most tense moments of the game. It might be
1:57.6	a little bit different if you're in California and obviously adjust accordingly if you're in Europe.
	...

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