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Emergency Medicine Cases

Ep 141 COVID-19 Part 5 Epidemiology and Prediction Models

Emergency Medicine Cases

Dr. Anton Helman

Science, Courses, Medicine, Health & Fitness, Education

4.7602 Ratings

🗓️ 31 March 2020

⏱️ 35 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Ashleigh Tuite infectious diseases mathematical modeler discusses factors predicting spread of SARS CoV-2, prediction models and flattening the curve of COVID-19. Is the COVID-19 virus likely to mutate? And if it does what are the most likely consequences? What do prediction models show in terms of how long this pandemic will last? Is there likely to be a 2nd peak?...

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is Anton Helman for the EMCases podcast, Episode 141, COVID-19 epidemiology and prediction models.

0:08.5

I want you to think of a time when you had a challenging case and your team came through for you and you were high-fiving afterwards.

0:17.0

Now take that feeling and multiply it by a hundred. That's where we're going to be at the end of this.

0:23.9

Yes, we're all scared and that's okay.

0:27.2

That's what's called being human.

0:29.6

Yes, I've shared a tear or two in my wife's arms and that's okay too.

0:34.2

And yes, there are huge challenges ahead.

0:38.1

But who better is there to rise to those challenges than emergency providers?

0:43.0

I mean, we see blood and guts and pain and suffering all the time, yet we're able to

0:48.7

combine our skills, our intelligence, and our compassion to not only adapt, but to kick ass. And that's what we're

0:57.2

going to do in this COVID era. We're going to train like crazy to perform protected intubation

1:02.3

so that no one in the room gets sick. We're going to educate ourselves about COVID so that we

1:07.5

have the confidence in our decisions. We're going to be leaders in our communities

1:12.1

to keep the public safe. We're going to tell every patient and every colleague that were there for

1:17.9

them. We're going to dig deep into why we became emergency providers in the first place

1:23.2

and muster up every bit of courage we have to do great work.

1:29.0

We can get through this together. I know we can. We will get through this together.

1:35.9

Welcome to the Emergency Medicine Cases podcast with your host, Dr. Anton Helman,

1:40.8

bringing you Canada's brightest minds in emergency medicine from EMC studios in Toronto.

1:49.9

We've got a COVID-19 resources section on the EMCases website homepage where you can access all the COVID podcast, guidelines summaries, and weekly updates.

1:59.4

In this COVID series of main episode podcast, part five, we have an epidemiologist from the

2:04.3

University of Toronto, Ashley Chute, who will help us understand more about the factors that

...

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