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More or Less: Behind the Stats

Employment puzzle, pyramids and triplets

More or Less: Behind the Stats

BBC

Business, Mathematics, Science, News Commentary, News

4.63.5K Ratings

🗓️ 8 June 2022

⏱️ 29 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The UK has a low unemployment rate, and a large number of people who are not working right now – we look at how both of these are true with the help of Chris Giles from the FT and Louise Murphy from the Resolution Foundation. Have pyramids really moved 4km south since they were built? For years, the media has been claiming that the odds of having identical triplets are one in 200 million – we are very suspicious. And we look at apparently concerning reports about women's life expectancy in the poorest parts of England. Plus, we have received a lot of emails from listeners about last week’s episode. Some questioning the definition of a billion, others questioning our explanation of the nautical mile. We do some reflecting.

Transcript

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0:00.0

BBC Sounds, Music, Radio, Podcasts

0:05.4

Hello and welcome to more or less, you're ever friendly guide to the numbers in the news.

0:10.6

This week it seems that 41% of listeners to the programme wrote in to express their lack

0:15.3

of confidence in at least one of last week's items, which I think is a convincing, decisive

0:20.6

show of support for our leadership. This week we'll deal with your complaints about

0:25.4

long billions and wet miles, we'll fact check comedy claims about pyramids. We'll find out

0:31.6

what's happening to the life expectancy of British women, and we'll evaluate the probability

0:37.2

of identical triplets, a long shot, but perhaps not quite as long as the BBC website asserts.

0:44.4

But first, while all the economic talk is about the cost of living with rising inflation,

0:49.9

rising energy bills and rising taxes, there has been some good news. Unemployment is at its

0:56.3

lowest rate in 50 years. Unsurprisingly, there are plenty of job vacancies too, it's hard for

1:02.8

businesses to get the right people. Good news for workers who find themselves very much

1:07.2

in demand. It's with this backdrop in mind that loyal listener David Wheeler got in touch to

1:13.6

say he'd been puzzled by the contrast between two recent headlines, one from the BBC.

1:18.9

Job vacancies outpace unemployment for first time. And one from the spectator. How are five million

1:26.0

Brit without work? Yes, that does seem puzzling. One sounds like there are loads of jobs and not

1:32.0

many people looking, the other sounds like there are loads of Brit sitting around with nothing to do.

1:37.4

Here to help is Louise Murphy, she's an economist at the Resolution Foundation, I think Tank.

1:42.6

At first glance, these two headlines seem to contradict each other, but actually when we kind of

1:48.2

look beneath the surface a little bit, they are in fact both true because we're looking at

1:52.2

slightly different things. So on the one hand, the first headline is looking at the unemployment rate,

1:58.4

and that is the number of people who are out of work, but who are actively looking for work and

...

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