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Wall Street Breakfast

Eli Lilly shares hammered

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business, Investing, Business News, News

3.8950 Ratings

🗓️ 7 August 2025

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Data for a trial of its oral weight-loss drug was not enough to spur buying in the high-valuation stock. (0:15) Labor productivity rebounds in Q2. (3:37) Trump wants Intel CEO fired. (5:05)

Show Notes
Warner Bros. Discovery mixed results  

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action, news, and analysis.

0:09.9

Good afternoon. Today is Thursday, August 7th, and I'm your host, Kim Khan. Our top story so far. Despite

0:16.1

reporting better than expected Q2 results and increasing its 2025 outlook, Eli Lilly is under pressure

0:22.2

amid concerns over late-stage trial data for the company's oral weight loss drug or

0:27.1

4glyprone.

0:28.3

Head of the Q2 print, the company posted initial data from its Phase 3, Attain 1 trial,

0:33.3

indicating that its oral GLP1 receptor agonist led to up to 11% of weight loss over 70 weeks,

0:39.5

according to the study's intent to treat analysis. As for the main goal, once daily of 4 glopron

0:45.0

at 36 milligrams, led to an average weight loss of 12.4% or 27.3 pounds, compared to a 0.9%

0:52.5

or 2.2 pounds average weight loss experienced by those on placebo,

0:56.7

the company said, citing a per-proticle analysis. In September 2024, Novo Nordisk said that

1:02.8

its oral weight loss candidate Amicreton led to up to 13% weight loss over 12 weeks at the highest

1:08.1

dose tested in a phase one trial. Lily shares, which get an F-quant grade for valuation, with a non-gap PE around 54,

1:15.8

compared to the sector median of 16, fell in reaction.

1:19.3

Novo, with a PE of around 12, moved higher.

1:22.0

But unlike Novo, which recently lowered its growth outlook, citing headwinds in the GLP1 market,

1:27.0

Lilly increased the midpoint of its 2025 revenue guidance by $1.5 billion to $60 to $62 billion,

1:33.5

in line with the $60.1 billion in the consensus.

1:36.7

The company also revised its EPS outlook to $21.75 to $23 from $278 to $2,

1:43.5

compared with the $2198 consensus. As for Q2, Lilly generated 15.6 billion

1:49.2

in revenue with a 38% year-over-year growth as its obesity drug franchise dominated by diabetes

1:55.1

drug Monjaro and a weight loss therapy Zepbound outperformed. They added more than $8 billion

...

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