Effectively Wild Episode 1176: The Best Tape of Our Lives
Effectively Wild: A FanGraphs Baseball Podcast
Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley
4.7 • 2.7K Ratings
🗓️ 15 February 2018
⏱️ 75 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary

Ben Lindbergh and Jeff Sullivan banter about the installation of a humidor at Chase Field, how peak Ichiro would have hit at Coors Field, and what to make of reports about players in the best shape of their lives, then answer emails about which team performances would qualify as surprising in 2018, projecting players who’ve had hard times off the field, evaluating launch angles, how much better teams get when they go for broke, NPB teams poaching unsigned free agents, how many non-athletes a team of the best players in baseball could carry without being bad, and how to define a platoon, plus a Stat Blast on post-humidor Coors, a meditation on the free-agent market, and an update on Jose Ramirez’s mysterious Twitter handle.
Audio intro: Sparks, "Instant Weight Loss"
Audio outro: Yo La Tengo, "Is That Enough"
Link to Alan Nathan’s humidor research
Link to Ben’s BSOHL research
Link to Mike Trout Pecos League hypothetical
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Lord in one night Instant weight lost one night |
| 0:06.0 | What's in the night? I'm there's a kilo each hour |
| 0:12.0 | In ten nights Ten saving nights And figure a kilo a night |
| 0:20.0 | Instant weight lost |
| 0:22.0 | Hello and welcome to episode 1176, the Effect of the Wild, a baseball podcast from Fickgrass |
| 0:28.0 | presented by our patreon supporters. I'm Ben Lindbergh of the ringer joined by Jeff Sullivan of Fangrass. How are you? |
| 0:36.0 | He said Fangrass is a few were surprised by that in a copy like brought to you by Fangrass. |
| 0:40.0 | Oh, this week it's going to be Fangrass's email show. I'm fine. How are you? |
| 0:44.0 | I'm doing pretty well. So we're going to do our bladed email show that we skipped over last week. |
| 0:50.0 | Bit of banter maybe before we begin. There was some news recently that there's going to be a second humidor in majorly. |
| 0:56.0 | baseball. I cost my stat blast. Oh, is that your stat blast? Okay. Well, Chase fields going to have a humidor which has been rumored for several years. I don't know what form your stat blast is going to take. I was just going to site some previous research about what the impact of the humidor would be. I don't know if that will conflict with what you're going to say later. |
| 1:18.0 | Even if it does who cares? Well, this has been in the works for a while and seemingly almost happened last season. So Alan Nathan did an article for the Hardball Times last year around this time. |
| 1:31.0 | And he estimated somewhat imprecisely that it would probably reduce home run production at Chase field by 25 to 50%. |
| 1:42.0 | If you had to pin him down on one number, I think he estimated 37%. So I think the effect on home runs at least could be even more pronounced possibly than it was at course field. Chase field has the second highest elevation of any major league park. But of course it is a lot drier than Colorado is. |
| 2:03.0 | And so there is maybe an even bigger effect forthcoming from making the balls, Hubert storing them in a more humid environment for a while. |
| 2:12.0 | So I don't know that we necessarily need to care about this, but I guess we can be aware of this. I'm heading off any questions we might receive about what the impact of this could possibly be, but it obviously affects both teams that play any game in Arizona. |
| 2:30.0 | And might affect some players more so than others, but I don't know that this would have any sort of huge effect on the Diamondbacks competitiveness. And I don't know why they particularly care about having a human or not, although I did read some quotes last year to the effect of pictures complaining about the grip of the ball, maybe because it's so dry. |
| 2:50.0 | So I don't know if this has more to do with that than it does with the actual offense. Well, I guess we'll touch on that a little bit in the stat blast looking at the updated fan graphs, park factors, which are based on five year data samples over the past five years. |
| 3:05.0 | The Diamondbacks have had the second most hitter friendly ballpark overall behind only the ballpark that has the first humidor course field still hitters paradise. The Diamondbacks have shown well, this is a park factor of 105. What that means? Look, I don't know. |
| 3:19.0 | I don't care, but it's higher than 100 hundred is average. Diamondbacks second most hitter friendly ballpark, but interestingly, if you just look at the home run rates, Diamondbacks still high, but they're behind these just going by teams, not ballpark. |
| 3:33.0 | So I can't think that fast Yankees, Phillies, Rocky's Brewers, Reds, Orioles and White Sox. So the Diamondbacks are there in Chase field would be eighth place in home home run, park factor. |
| 3:42.0 | So I know that it has the reputation of being a hitter friendly ballpark because it is a hitter friendly ballpark, but it's I'm at least based on the numbers. It's not like the home runs are out of control, certainly not in the way that they would be in Yankee Stadium. Take three. |
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