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EconTalk

Edmund Phelps on Unemployment and the State of Macroeonomics

EconTalk

Library of Economics and Liberty

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4.74.3K Ratings

🗓️ 15 February 2010

⏱️ 75 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Nobel Laureate Edmund Phelps of Columbia University talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the market for labor, unemployment, and the evolution of macroeconomics over the past century. The conversation begins with a discussion of Phelps's early contributions to the understanding of unemployment and the importance of imperfect information. Phelps put his contribution into the context of the evolution of macroeconomics showing how his models were related to those of Keynes, the Austrian School, and rational expectations. The conversation then turns to the issue of whether macroeconomics is making progress, particularly in understanding business cycles. The discussion concludes with the satisfactions of work and the role of creativity and dynamism.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Econ Talk, part of the Library of Economics and Liberty. I'm your host Russ Roberts

0:13.9

of George Mason University and Stanford University's Hoover Institution. Our website is econtalk.org

0:21.2

where you can subscribe, find other episodes, comment on this podcast, and find links to

0:26.5

another information related to today's conversation. Our email address is mailadicontalk.org. We'd

0:33.6

love to hear from you. Today is February 12, 2010, and my guest is Edmund Phelps, the

0:43.6

McVicker Professor of Political Economy at Columbia University, Director of Columbia's

0:48.0

Center on Capitalism and Society and the winner of the 2006 Nobel Prize in Economics. Professor

0:54.0

Phelps, welcome to Econ Talk. Thank you. I want to start with a quote from your Nobel

0:58.4

Prize lecture. It's a little long, but it's I think very important. And it's the quote

1:03.3

begins by talking about Paul Samuelson's work and Samuelson recently passed away. And

1:08.9

for listeners who don't know, his Samuelson's 1948 work, the Foundations of Economic Analysis,

1:15.4

really was the beginning of certainly a landmark in the formalization of economic theory

1:20.7

into mathematical form, not that they had been mathematics before, but Samuelson really

1:25.5

took it to a much higher level. And here's what the quote is from Professor Phelps's Nobel

1:32.1

Prize lecture. Samuelson's project to correct, clarify, and broaden the theory, brought

1:37.3

into focus its strengths, but also its limitations. It abstracted from the distinctive character

1:43.0

of the modern economy, the endemic uncertainty and baguity, diversity of beliefs, specialization

1:49.4

of knowledge and problem solving. As a result, it could not capture or endogenize the observable

1:55.4

phenomena that are endemic to the modern economy, innovation, waves of rapid growth, big

2:00.9

swings in business activity, disequilibria, intense employee engagement, and workers intellectual

2:06.9

development. Best and brightest of the neoclassical saw these defects, but lacked a micro theory

2:12.9

to address them. So end of quote. So to get us started, I'd like you to talk about how

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