Detroit Lions 2022 NFL Sports Betting Preview
The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff
Adam Chernoff
4.8 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 5 August 2022
⏱️ 14 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Covers sports betting preview written by Jason Logan: https://www.covers.com/nfl/detroit-lions-season-betting-preview-2022
Circa Millions Contest Details: Circa | Sports Million IV Pro Football Contest - Circa | Sports (circasports.com)
1. The price point for the Detroit Lions in 2022 is quite different from 2021. They move from 5 to 6.5 shaded towards 7 win total. An average spread of 8.1 to 3.3. Underdog in 17 games to 14.
2. In 2021, the Lions were two different teams playing from ahead and playing from behind. Of their 1,047 offensive snaps last season, just 17% saw the Lions leading while 60% saw them trailing by at least a FG. When trailing by 3+ points, the Lions offensive success rate was above average. When leading, they were among the worst in the NFL. All season long the Lions offense performed well when playing from behind, but seldom got out in front and built leads.
3. The big difference and turning point for the 2021 season was the mid year play caller change. Dan Campbell took over from Anthony Lynn and the team started to target 3 wide receivers at a much higher rate while abanonding targeting Swift out of the backfield like Lynn obsessed over the first half of the season to open up the offense.
4. With Swift likely to become a much more traditional runner in 2022 behind a strong offensive line, I believe the Lions will increase their pass rate and target more wide receivers as evidenced by signing Chark and drafting Williams 12th.
5. The secondary remains a huge issue for the Lions and one they neglected in the offseason only adding Mike Hughes to the fold. While I am bullish overall on the offense, defensively this team has many issues heading into the season.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Good morning, everybody. Today is Friday, August 5th, and in this episode looking at a team preview |
| 0:05.7 | of the Detroit Lions, an interesting team that there's a lot of angles to take. So I think this |
| 0:11.0 | is going to be a really good episode. Before jumping into it, I just want to point out, I recorded |
| 0:15.7 | this episode before the Hall of Fame game kicked off. So at this moment, I do not have a reaction to whether or not the Raiders covered |
| 0:23.6 | and how the first release show of the season went, because the game hasn't happened yet. |
| 0:28.2 | Second thing, thank you to everybody who has now made the combined total for reviews of the podcast |
| 0:34.5 | between the United States and Canada all the way up to 750. Great number to |
| 0:41.1 | exceed. Appreciate everybody taking the time, working towards a goal of 1,000 reviews by the time we |
| 0:48.2 | get to kick off. If you have a couple seconds this morning, it helps me out a lot. If you found any of the previews valuable, if you're someone that's been listening for a while and enjoy the show, just hit pause, scroll down, leave a review, leave a comment if you have time. It goes a long way. I know you're busy and you're on your way to work. You're listening at home. You're with the dog outside. But if you just have a second to pull out your phone and do that, it really, really helps me a lot as this podcast continues to move |
| 1:15.1 | up the charts in both football and sports overall in the United States in Canada. Detroit Lions. |
| 1:23.8 | I'm going to do my best to keep this on track and paint a story. Last year, a lot of people |
| 1:32.2 | remember my annual rant episode. And those are never planned, but there's kind of one that |
| 1:38.2 | gets out of me every year. A couple years ago is the Dunkin' Donuts rant, driving from |
| 1:42.9 | Los Angeles to Las Vegas. |
| 1:45.1 | Last year, it was a multiple pint-infused rant about the Detroit Lions leading to one of my |
| 1:53.3 | biggest bets last year, which was on the Eagles to cover against the Lions. They won 44 to 6, |
| 1:59.4 | and that all sort of culminated in my thoughts on Detroit at the time. |
| 2:04.0 | And a lot of those thoughts held for the season. But there's kind of more to it than that. And I think |
| 2:11.1 | at the time, my view on the team was a little bit short-sighted. and there were some clues down the stretch, which I think |
| 2:19.3 | need to be emphasized here in the preview episode, that may give a glimpse into what the Lions |
| 2:24.8 | will be in 2022. So we'll start off by just establishing that the price point for Detroit in |
| 2:32.4 | 2022 is actually quite different from the price point in 2021. |
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