4.8 • 786 Ratings
🗓️ 1 September 2021
⏱️ 13 minutes
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0:00.0 | The fascinating thing to me is that it's just so clear where this battleground is going to be, |
0:05.2 | and it's going to be Dex's, it's going to be peer-to-peer trading. These battles are going to be |
0:09.3 | big, and if you think it's quiet now, that's just because these teams are absolutely gearing up for an |
0:14.5 | insane fall. Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW. It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world. |
0:28.0 | The breakdown is sponsored by Nidig and produced and distributed by CoinDest. |
0:34.4 | What's going on, guys? It is Tuesday, August 31st, and today's news is wildly emblematic of the full breadth of the crypto industry today. |
0:44.3 | So I thought it'd be good to go through each of these stories and give them some context. |
0:48.4 | And let's start with one of the most classic tropes in this industry, an old rich guy who doesn't get its story. |
0:56.0 | One of the interesting things about hedge funds and venture investors is that oftentimes |
1:00.3 | one really big contrarian bet that pays off can solidify an investor's reputation for a very, |
1:07.3 | very long time. John Paulson had one of those bets betting against the housing market in advance of the |
1:13.8 | great financial crisis. |
1:15.5 | That position ended up netting him and his investors something like $20 billion, which |
1:19.7 | is very clearly a career-defining bet. |
1:22.7 | However, it hasn't been quite as good since then. |
1:26.1 | At peak in 2011, Paulson managed 38 billion. That was down to |
1:30.2 | $9 billion by 2019 when he shut down his hedge fund and started managing his own money, an estimated |
1:35.9 | $3.5 billion instead. This is not to scoff at a $3.5 billion fortune, but simply to point out |
1:42.3 | that Paulson has proven himself to be pretty |
1:44.1 | firmly in the camp of one really good call, which perhaps takes the sting out of his recent |
1:50.3 | comments on Bloomberg wealth with David Rubinstein about crypto. The setup to that combo is one many |
1:56.0 | bitcoiners in particular will resonate with. Basically, he says that an expanded money supply is going to drive |
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