Daily Briefing – Aug 27, 2020 – Sentiment is Shifting in the Markets: Tommy Thornton
Real Vision: Finance & Investing
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🗓️ 27 August 2020
⏱️ 41 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | It's Thursday, August 27, 2020, just after market close in New York. |
| 0:07.0 | This is the Real Vision Daily Briefing. |
| 0:15.2 | I'm Ash Bennington joined shortly |
| 0:17.5 | by Tom Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry. |
| 0:21.1 | But first with the day's stories, Nick Kureya. |
| 0:24.0 | Thanks, Ash. |
| 0:25.0 | In his speech at the annual Jackson Hole Symposium this morning, |
| 0:28.0 | Fed Chair Jay Powell gave an official update to the Fed's policy on inflation targeting. |
| 0:32.0 | It was one of the most significant revamps in |
| 0:34.7 | their policy strategy since 2012. Having deliberated on these changes for the past year and a half, |
| 0:39.9 | the Fed is seeking to average out their inflation target of 2% over the long term. |
| 0:44.4 | In other words, in periods where inflation consistently is under 2%, the Fed will structure |
| 0:49.4 | monetary policy to aim right above the 2% threshold to average it out and meet their target |
| 0:54.9 | over time. Since setting the inflation target at 2% in 2012, the Fed has only met |
| 0:59.8 | that a few times in the past eight years, averaging about 1.4%. |
| 1:03.7 | Pal today had said, quote, the persistent undershoot of inflation from our 2% longer run objective |
| 1:09.0 | is a cause for concern, end quote. |
| 1:10.9 | Averging out their inflation targeting would help them avoid quote an adverse cycle of ever lower inflation and inflation expectations, end quote. |
| 1:19.0 | An economy that thrives on credit and its growth, a deflationary environment causes the debt burden to increase in real terms. |
| 1:25.4 | Low inflation is also a direct contributor to low rates, which, when an economic downturn occurs, |
| 1:30.6 | significantly hampers the central banks's ability to support the economy |
| 1:34.6 | through a recessionary period. Our new statement explicitly acknowledges the |
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