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Motley Fool Money

Cyclical Stocks Cycle

Motley Fool Money

The Motley Fool

Business, Investing

4.43K Ratings

🗓️ 13 February 2025

⏱️ 27 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Digital ad platform, The Trade Desk, missed its own expectations for the first time in 33 quarters. Its investors were not pleased. (00:21) Alicia Alfiere joined Ricky Mulvey to discuss: - The expectations, and real business performance of The Trade Desk. - Robinhood blowing away expectations, and what its earnings reveal about retail investing trends. - How restaurants are responding to egg shortages. Then, (15:40) Sanmeet Deo joins Ricky for a look at Celsius’s reposition and what the stock needs for a comeback. Companies discussed: TTD, HOOD, CRBL, CELH, PEP Host: Ricky Mulvey Guests: Alicia Alfiere, Sanmeet Deo Producer: Mary Long Engineer: Dan Boyd, Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

When a stock has high expectations, you don't get much forgiveness.

0:08.5

You're listening to Motley Full Money.

0:20.7

I'm Ricky Mulvey. I'm Ricky Mulvey, joined today in person in Denver with Alicia Alfieri.

0:24.6

Alicia, it is so good to see. We've been chatting for an hour, but it's still good to see you.

0:27.6

It's so great to be here in person, in real life.

0:31.6

To break down some earnings from the trade desk and Robin Hood. The tradek got absolutely cooked in its latest earnings, Alicia.

0:38.6

Basically, the Trade Desk is a demand-side ad platform. That means they help advertising agencies

0:43.2

place buys across the internet and streaming services now and retail. Revenue grew by about

0:48.7

26% year-over-year, but that's not the headline. CEO Jeff Green said, quote, I want to acknowledge

0:54.6

upfront for the first time in 33 quarters as a public company. We fell short of our own expectations,

1:01.9

end quote, not Wall Street expectations, but company guidance. Alicia, first missed in 33 quarters,

1:07.5

but why is the market reacting so strongly to it? Yeah, so there are a few different reasons. So first, let's take into account the fact that

1:13.7

the Trade Desk has been an incredible performer since it went public back in 2016. So it's

1:19.9

grown its top line and generated free cash flow every year. Since its IPO, the stock was,

1:26.1

as of yesterday at least, a 40-bagger, but all that performance

1:30.0

comes at a cost in terms of valuation and expectations.

1:34.4

And it's never really been a cheap stock, right?

1:37.5

And so because there's so much valuation or so much expectation baked into that valuation,

1:43.6

anytime you have a bump in the road,

1:47.0

you're going to see the stock take a hit.

1:49.0

So let's take expectations out for just a moment. How's the actual business of the trade

1:54.8

desk doing?

...

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