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This is Money Podcast

Could the inflation spike lead to stagflation - or is it the start of a growth spurt?

This is Money Podcast

This is Money

Business News, Business, Investing, News

4.1650 Ratings

🗓️ 17 September 2021

⏱️ 44 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The cost of living jumped by the largest amount on record to hit 3.2 per cent in August – is it set to run out of control and prompt the Bank of England to raise interest rates?

Meanwhile, a gloomy report has lead some economists to talk about stagflation once more. What is it, is it a threat and does it matter?

This week, Simon Lambert, Lee Boyce and Georgie Frost discuss the 'flations' and what it could mean for the coming months, and the pandemic recovery.

Alongside this, there are supply chain problems and staff shortages. Can we expect higher prices in shops and is Britain set for a hiring boom?

It's not just shops that are suffering, soaring costs and tradesmen shortages are leaving families doing home improvements themselves - or stuck with half-finished renovations.

And we go inside the pocket sized houses aimed at first time buyers in London. We left the cat at home: there wasn't enough room to swing it…

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to This Is Money podcast. I'm Georgie Frost and alongside me and editor Simon Lambert. Today is assistant editor Lee Boyce. And coming up, the cost of living is rising. Wages are too. But are we at risk of stagflation and it's okay to ask, what the heck is stagflation? We also talk supply chain problems and staff shortages. Can we expect higher prices in the shops and more

0:21.8

spicy grilled chicken shortages? And is Britain set for a hiring boom? It's not just stores,

0:27.9

though, that are suffering, soaring costs and tradesmen shortages are leaving families

0:32.2

doing home improvements themselves or stuck with half-finished renovations. And we go inside the pocket-sized houses

0:39.7

aimed at first-time buyers in London. We left the cat at home as there wasn't enough room

0:45.1

to swing it. Don't forget you to stay out to date with all the latest breaking money news. Just go

0:49.2

to this ismoney.com.uk or download the app. But first, the cost of living jumped by the largest amount on

0:55.7

record last month, with the rise in price being blamed on pandemic chaos, aka transport, petrol

1:02.1

and some food stuff in there as well, which we'll get into. Inflation rose from 2% in July

1:08.2

to 3.2% in August.

1:11.3

So could it run out of control and might finally the Bank of England raise interest rates

1:16.1

and therefore we can play our game again of guess the interest rate rises, Simon?

1:21.0

What's going on? Why is inflation up?

1:23.6

Well, it should be noted that this is the biggest jump in inflation between month to month

1:30.3

that has been seen for a considerable amount of time.

1:35.1

In fact, it's the biggest one on record.

1:38.5

So that's, i.e., a considerable amount of time.

1:41.7

But this biggest spike since 1997, which was the last time we had one that

1:47.1

was near enough to this, has been issued with a note of caution by the O&S that said we are comparing

1:55.4

to a strange time a year ago. So if you look at the inflation bulletin, it basically says that the largest

2:03.1

contribution to inflation was base effect. What does that mean? Not everybody's gone out and bought

2:10.4

some massive speakers. It means that we're comparing to a time a year ago when prices were depressed.

...

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