4.2 • 639 Ratings
🗓️ 6 December 2016
⏱️ 3 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
0:00.0 | Understanding the human body is a team effort. That's where the Yachtel group comes in. |
0:05.8 | Researchers at Yachtolt have been delving into the secrets of probiotics for 90 years. |
0:11.0 | Yacold also partners with nature portfolio to advance gut microbiome science through the global grants for gut health, an investigator-led research program. |
0:19.6 | To learn more about Yachtolt, visit yawcult.co. |
0:22.7 | .jp.j. That's Y-A-K-U-L-T.C-O.J-P. When it comes to a guide for your gut, count on Yacolt. |
0:33.6 | This is Scientific American's 60-second science. I'm Christopher in Taliatta. |
0:38.3 | Every flu season, and that's now through the spring, epidemiologists track flu infections as they break out across the country. |
0:46.3 | And they forecast how bad it's going to get. At the national level, regionally, state by state, they even forecast for metro areas like New York City |
0:55.8 | in L.A., which sounds pretty fine-grained until you consider that New York City is made up of |
1:01.5 | five boroughs, and there are actually more than 80 cities in L.A. County. So there might be an |
1:07.6 | advantage to forecasting at even smaller scales. |
1:11.1 | Public health decision making and interventions are done at small scales. |
1:15.1 | They're done at the county and the municipal scale. |
1:17.3 | Jeffrey Schaman, an infectious disease modeler at Columbia University. |
1:20.9 | He and his team built a model to forecast flu within New York City neighborhoods and boroughs, |
1:26.6 | and they use data on flu cases from 2008 through |
1:29.7 | 2013. They added in something they called network connectivity, commuter data, basically. The commuter data |
1:37.4 | did not improve the accuracy of hyper-local neighborhood-level forecasts, but it did improve |
1:42.8 | predictions at the borough level compared to |
1:45.3 | models without that sort of commuter flow built in. The results are in the journal PLOS |
1:50.3 | computational biology. Shaman says fine-tuned forecasts could warn local hospitals before a big |
1:57.0 | outbreak. Knowing when that's going to be will allow them to plan the resources out, |
... |
Please login to see the full transcript.
Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Scientific American, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.
Generated transcripts are the property of Scientific American and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.
Copyright © Tapesearch 2025.