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European Parliament - EPRS Policy podcasts

Climate overshoot and adaptation: Issues to watch in 2024

European Parliament - EPRS Policy podcasts

European Parliament Webmaster

Government & Organizations, Non-profit

4.813 Ratings

🗓️ 23 February 2024

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The world is not on track to keep the global temperature rise below 2°C. Even under the most optimistic scenarios, the temperature rise is expected to overshoot 1.5°C for a while, before falling back below 1.5°C thanks to large-scale carbon removals. While action to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and scale up carbon dioxide removal remains crucial, there is an urgent need to reinforce efforts to adapt to climate change, in order to avoid losses and build resilience.

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Source: © European Union - EP

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the European Parliamentary Research Service Podcasts.

0:05.3

The world is not on track in keeping the global temperature rise below 2 degrees Celsius.

0:11.4

What impacts will this have and how can the EU prepare itself?

0:16.0

Stay with us to learn more about climate overshoot and adaptation,

0:20.0

one of the 10 issues to watch in

0:21.9

2024 analyzed by the European Parliamentary Research Service.

0:29.7

The last decade was the warmest on record, especially in Europe, where average temperatures

0:35.3

have risen by more than 2 degrees Celsius above

0:38.3

pre-industrial levels.

0:41.3

The Paris Agreement binds us to limit global temperature increase to well below 2 degrees

0:46.5

Celsius above pre-industrial levels, and aims to limit the increase to 1.5 degrees Celsius. But according to the intergovernmental panel on

0:57.1

climate change without drastic cuts in global greenhouse gas emissions, temporary overshoot is almost

1:03.6

inevitable. And the greatest warming is expected in northeastern Europe, northern Scandinavia,

1:09.4

and inland areas of the Mediterranean.

1:12.4

Now, climate overshoot refers to the period during which warming will have increased

1:17.2

past 1.5 degrees Celsius before falling back down thanks to large-scale carbon removals.

1:24.3

And this will lead to more climate variability and extreme weather events.

1:28.3

We are already witnessing the effects of climate change, more severe storms,

1:34.3

shrinking ice sheets and Arctic sea ice, retreating glaciers, warmer oceans, rising sea levels and ocean acidification.

1:43.3

So the longer the climate overshoot lasts, the more dangerous and ocean acidification.

1:48.5

So the longer the climate overshoot lasts, the more dangerous the world will become.

1:54.9

Worsening impacts on human health, food security, water availability, social stability and natural ecosystems.

...

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