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The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

Claude Erb - “It Is Possible That We're in the Middle of a Period in Which Gold Becomes the New Frankincense" | #80

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

The Idea Farm

Investing, Management, Business

4.8978 Ratings

🗓️ 15 November 2017

⏱️ 64 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In Episode 80, we welcome commodities and gold expert, Claude Erb. As usual, we start with Claude’s back-story, but it’s not long before the guys jump into investing, with Meb asking about Claude’s general framework and view of the markets. Claude tells us there are three concepts that guide his broad investing thinking: first, framing investment opportunities in terms of price/value relationships; second, the concept that no one gives away anything of value for free; and third, the idea that there really is no difference between a successful traditional fundamental approach to investing and a successful quantitative approach to investing. This leads into a quick conversation about how market wisdom compounds over the years, but it’s not long before the guys jump into the topic of “gold.” Claude and his writing partner, Campbell Harvey, wrote the seminal paper, “The Golden Constant”, which explored the possible relationship between the real, inflation-adjusted price of gold and future real gold returns. Meb mentions how gold elicits far more emotion in investors than nearly any other asset, with different investors having an array of reasons or themes as to why they own gold. Clause gives us some great commentary on the link between fear and gold, touching upon VIX contracts, volatility, and even Buffett’s and Dalio’s take on gold. The guys continue with the gold discussion, with Claude referencing some of the concepts from “The Golden Constant”. All you gold bugs (and historians, for that matter) won’t want to miss this. There’s way more in this episode, including a discussion of commodities, various practical takeaways, and Claude’s thoughts on something called “the sequence of returns.” And of course, there’s Claude’s most memorable trade. What are the details? Find out in Episode 80. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Mebb Fabor Show, where the focus is on helping you grow and preserve your wealth.

0:12.7

Join us as we discuss the craft of investing

0:15.6

and uncover new and profitable ideas,

0:18.4

all to help you grow wealthier and wiser.

0:20.8

Better investing starts here.

0:23.0

Mepp Faber is the co-founder and chief investment officer at Cambria Investment Management.

0:31.0

Due to industry regulations, he will not discuss any of Cambria's funds on this

0:35.5

podcast.

0:36.8

All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not

0:41.0

reflect the opinion of Cambria Investment Management or its

0:43.6

affiliates. For more information visit cambria Investments.com

0:49.6

Welcome podcast listeners today we have a wonderful show for you. I am delighted at the

0:56.2

guests we have today. He's once been in charge of equity portfolio management,

1:00.2

international portfolio management, enterprise risk management for Liberty Mutual later was managing director at TCW

1:06.4

He's co-authored the Golden Delima as well as a whole slew of academic papers we'll get to today.

1:13.6

So welcome to the show, Claude.

1:15.0

Thanks for the invite.

1:16.0

Claude, I'm really excited.

1:17.4

There's a lot we're gonna get into today,

1:19.0

podcast listeners, if you like the topics of sequence of returns and gold and commodities and

1:26.0

everything else this is this is a great show for you but we like to start usually

1:30.6

with a little background info a little origin story for our

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