4.6 • 693 Ratings
🗓️ 12 March 2018
⏱️ 16 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Jim, Evan and Phil discuss the latest happenings in the Middle Kingdom and around the globe.
1:17 The People's Republic of #Debt
3:17 #Zombie bond market for zombie companies
7:10 ECB scorns #tariffs, buys bonds
13:09 The perils of #social media
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0:00.0 | Well, this is Grant's interest rate observer of the year. |
0:09.5 | I am Jim Grant and welcome. |
0:11.1 | And with me, as always today, Eric Whitehead to my left of the dials, Phil Grant, the editor |
0:16.0 | of Almost Daily Grants, the not almost, but perfectly indispensable daily update on the financial markets. |
0:21.9 | And the great Evan Lorenz deputy editor of grants. We're all here. Yeah. And we are brought to you |
0:27.3 | today by Health IQ, and that's for the hard bodies who are listening. And also you are listening |
0:33.9 | to us courtesy of ourselves. We are sponsored by grants itself in a very reasonable rate, |
0:39.1 | too, I might say. We are sponsored, in fact, specifically by the grants spring conference, April 10th |
0:44.2 | at the Plaza Hotel. We'll see you there. So, you know, Evan, I cannot forbear, but talk a little |
0:50.2 | bit about the issue. This went to press on Tuesday night. It got sent out over the digital |
0:55.6 | wires yesterday. And ordinarily, we kind of keep these things into our hat because the paying |
1:01.0 | customers deserve to get first crack. But sometimes you just have to blab. If something is so |
1:05.8 | exciting, you can't hold back, you must talk about it. So let us talk about the extraordinary thing that is |
1:12.9 | the People's Republic of debt, China. One in the same. Okay, please, Evan, favor us with some, |
1:19.9 | as it were, vital signs from the People's Republic. So the numbers from China are always fantastic, |
1:24.1 | but now they're especially so. Banking assets in China now foot to |
1:27.7 | $40 trillion. And just to put that in perspective, that's 51% of world GDP. And to give you a |
1:33.5 | sense of scale, China's GDP last year footed to $13 trillion. U.S. GDP last year was $19.4 trillion. |
1:40.5 | U.S. banking assets are only $17.4 trillion. And if you go back in the historical record, |
1:44.8 | about as far back as we have it, which kind of goes back to 1980, U.S. banking assets is a percent |
1:49.0 | of world output peaked at 32 percent in 1985 right around the time of the plaza accords |
1:53.3 | when the dollar soared to unusually high heights. And for Japan, its banking system peaked |
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