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Centre for European Reform podcast

CER podcast: Why the UK voted to leave, and lessons for the EU 27

Centre for European Reform podcast

Centre for European Reform

News

4.853 Ratings

🗓️ 23 May 2017

⏱️ 14 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

John Springford talks to Matthew Goodwin, Paul Whiteley and Florence Faucher on the reasons the UK voted to leave, how these political trends played out in the French elections, and lessons for the EU 27.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome. My name is Sophia Besh and you're listening to the CER podcast.

0:11.9

Hello and welcome to the latest CER podcast. I'm John Springford, Director of Research for the CER.

0:19.2

We've just had a very interesting event with Matt Goodwin of the University of Kent and Chatham House

0:24.6

and Paul Whiteley from the University of Essex,

0:26.6

discussing their new book,

0:29.6

Brexit, Why Britain Voted to leave the EU.

0:32.6

And in response, we have Florence Fochie from Ciencebo, a political scientist who's done

0:39.3

a lot of work on France.

0:41.3

We're going to have a discussion about Brexit and why Britain voted to leave the EU and potentially

0:46.3

what the implications might be for the EU as a whole.

0:49.3

Matthew, I'd like to ask you the first question, really, which is there are three stories

0:55.7

about why Britain voted to leave the EU.

0:58.8

There's the immigration story that we've had a much faster net migration from the EU since 2004.

1:05.8

There's the sovereignty story, which is that people wanted to take back control over laws and the way that we were governed.

1:13.6

And then there's the economy story, which is that people didn't really believe Project Fear.

1:19.6

And I wondered what the findings of your book meant for those three narratives and which one won out in the end.

1:26.6

Well, one of the things that we have tried to do is bring data and evidence to that debate,

1:33.3

you know, not opinion, and we're drawing on more than 10 years worth of survey data, an overall

1:41.3

sample of tens of thousands of voters. And we've also got a nice panel design in there.

1:46.9

So we have a survey just a few days before the vote on June the 23rd and then another a few days

1:53.6

after. So, you know, in terms of what the book contains, there's a sort of war chest of data.

1:58.7

And the story really is, you know that there's a bit of all of

...

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