4.4 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 13 August 2019
⏱️ 25 minutes
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0:00.0 | From Goldman Sachs Research, this is Alison Nathan. Welcome to Top of Mind, a podcast that explores macroeconomic issues on the minds of our clients. |
0:12.6 | In this episode, we're taking a look at growing concerns about the independence of central banks around the world. |
0:23.3 | Here in the U.S., that independence has been threatened by President Trump's clear disapproval of the Fed. |
0:29.0 | Let's put it this way. |
0:30.4 | He's equated the Fed to a golfer who can't putt and called its logic faulty. |
0:34.9 | Now, White House pressure on the Fed to lower rates isn't anything new. We saw |
0:38.9 | this more than once back in the 70s and 80s. But this time around, President Trump's |
0:43.7 | criticism has been unusually vocal, unrelenting, and basically a mainstay on his Twitter feed. |
0:49.7 | We're going to be breaking records if we had a Fed that would lower interest rates would be like a rocket ship. |
0:55.8 | But we're paying a lot of interest and it's unnecessary, but we don't have a Fed that knows what |
1:00.6 | they're doing. Despite the very public criticism, Fed Chairman Jay Powell insists it's not |
1:06.1 | influencing the Fed's decisions. Here he is at the press conference last month after the Fed cut interest rates |
1:12.1 | for the first time in over a decade. We never take into account political considerations. |
1:16.7 | There's no place in our discussions for that. We also don't conduct monetary policy in order |
1:20.7 | to prove our independence. But it's not just the U.S. where there might be cause for worry. |
1:25.5 | The effectiveness and credibility of monetary policy |
1:28.2 | have been called into question across advanced economies, thanks to slow growth, a rise in |
1:33.0 | populism, and the potential need for more coordination between monetary and fiscal policy |
1:37.9 | in a world of already low interest rates. These concerns were somewhat reinforced by the appointment |
1:43.5 | of Christine Lagarde, a politician |
1:45.6 | rather than a central banker, as the next president of the European Central Bank. And the challenges |
1:50.9 | of resisting political influence are even more acute in emerging markets, where central banks are |
... |
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