Bytes: Week in Review — Prediction markets reel amid Iran conflict, defense contractors to drop Anthropic, and Meta's AI deal with News Corp
Marketplace Tech
Marketplace
4.5 • 1.3K Ratings
🗓️ 6 March 2026
⏱️ 14 minutes
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Summary
Meta and News Corp reached a licensing deal this week. Plus, defense contractors untangle Claude from their workflows.
But first, the online prediction marketplace Kalshi lets users bet on the outcome of many things that can happen in the future. One bet that saw a lot of action was whether Ali Khamenei would be ousted as the supreme leader in Iran. Khamenei was killed over the weekend during a U.S. military strike.
Kalshi didn’t pay out the bets that were placed after Khamenei’s death. Instead, it reimbursed those traders. And this outraged some users on the site. Marketplace’s Stephanie Hughes spoke with Paresh Dave, senior writer at Wired, about all these headlines from the week in tech.
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Meta strikes a deal with News Corp to get content, old and new, to train its AI. |
| 0:07.1 | From American Public Media, this is Marketplace Tech. |
| 0:09.7 | I'm Stephanie Hughes. |
| 0:19.7 | It's Friday, time for Marketplace Tech, where we take a look at a few of the big stories in the tech industry. |
| 0:25.7 | This week, Meta and News Cor reach a licensing deal, plus defense contractors untangle clawed from their workflows. |
| 0:33.0 | But first, are there some things we shouldn't try to predict? |
| 0:36.7 | The online prediction marketplace |
| 0:38.3 | Kalshi lets users bet on the outcome of many things that can happen in the future. One bet that |
| 0:43.3 | saw a lot of action was whether Ali Hominay would be ousted as the Supreme Leader in Iran. Hommon |
| 0:49.1 | was killed over the weekend during a U.S. military strike. Kalshi didn't pay out the bets that |
| 0:53.9 | replaced after Hommi's death. |
| 0:55.8 | Instead, it reimbursed those traders, and this outraged some users on the site. |
| 1:00.6 | I talked about this with Peresda Vey at Wired. |
| 1:03.2 | There is a commodity's future trading commission rule, which is what Kalshi is regulated by, |
| 1:09.6 | that says that you can't have these contracts that involve or reference assassination, |
| 1:15.6 | war, terrorism, similar actions. |
| 1:19.0 | And Cali has always had this policy, but not all users were familiar with it. |
| 1:23.4 | So it ended up costing Calci about $2.2 million, a source that the company told Wired this |
| 1:30.9 | week, to reimburse folks who made those trades after the death. |
| 1:36.4 | Right. I think Kalshia had mentioned in some places that there was a death carve-out, |
| 1:39.9 | but not everybody would have been aware of it necessarily. |
| 1:43.5 | Meanwhile, Polly Market, a rival marketplace, |
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