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The UK in a Changing Europe Podcast

Brexit and Beyond: Mark Pack

The UK in a Changing Europe Podcast

The UK in a Changing Europe Podcast

News

4.1102 Ratings

🗓️ 25 March 2022

⏱️ 34 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Dr Mark Pack, author of Polling UnPacked: The History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, joins Paula Surridge, one of UK in a Changing Europe's Deputy Directors and co-author of The British General Election of 2019, in this episode of Brexit and Beyond to discuss political polling. They discuss famous polling misses, ‘house’ effects, truthfulness in polling responses, using polls to decide on a new party leader and more.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello everyone and welcome to today's episode of UK in a changing Europe's Brexit and Beyond podcast.

0:20.8

As you might have guessed, if you've got

0:23.0

keen ears, I'm not your usual host. My name is Paula Surridge and I'm one of the deputy directors

0:28.4

at UK and a change in Europe. I'm thrilled that my guest today is Dr Mark Pack, who as well as

0:34.9

being president of the Liberal Democrats and having been named the fifth most

0:39.4

influential Lib Dem in 2020, is also the author of the soon to be published, Polling Unpacked,

0:46.4

great name, the history uses and abuses of political opinion polls. Now, this is my first time

0:53.9

in the host chair for a podcast. Mark himself, though,

0:56.9

is a veteran hosting the Nevermind the Bar Charts podcast, which is also highly recommended

1:03.0

if you like a dose of British politics chats along the way. Mark, welcome. Congratulations on the

1:09.7

publication of the new book. I think that's your third.

1:12.3

Easy question to start off with. What made you want to write a book about polling?

1:17.1

Really, I decided to write the book because I realised there were a lot of things that I felt I didn't know enough about.

1:25.1

And as somebody quite interested in polling, I also took the punt that I

1:29.6

hoped therefore other people might also find those questions, interesting ones to answer. And a good

1:36.2

example of that, I guess, is from the early history of opinion polling. The traditional story is that

1:42.9

there were lots of straw polls or, you know,

1:46.1

the Reader's Digest magazine in the US getting its readers to send in cards saying who they were

1:50.2

going to vote for. And they were all horribly wrong and inaccurate. And then along came George Gallup,

1:54.2

riding to the rescue with modern scientific polling. But there's a whole other story about how

1:59.9

those pre-Gallop sort of late 19th, early 20th century

2:04.2

surveys, maybe one should call them perhaps rather than polls, how there was a lot of really

...

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