4.8 • 689 Ratings
🗓️ 22 June 2022
⏱️ 18 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Looking at data from the last few months to see whether miners have had to increase selling to cover costs.
This episode is sponsored by Nexo.io, NEAR and FTX US.
On today’s episode, NLW looks at the state of bitcoin miners’ balance sheets. Specifically, he looks at increased selling of bitcoin over the past few months, and to what extent it has to do with additional debt and leverage taken on during the bull market.
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“The Breakdown” is written, produced by and features Nathaniel Whittemore aka NLW, with editing by Rob Mitchell, research by Scott Hill and additional production support by Eleanor Pahl. Jared Schwartz is our executive producer and our theme music is “Countdown” by Neon Beach. The music you heard today behind our sponsors is “Catnip” by Famous Cats and “I Don't Know How To Explain It” by Aaron Sprinkle. Image credit: Koron/Getty Images, modified by CoinDesk. Join the discussion at discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8.
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0:00.0 | Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW. |
0:09.1 | It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world. |
0:15.0 | The breakdown is sponsored by nexo.io, near an FTX, and produced and distributed by CoinDesk. |
0:22.8 | What's going on, guys? It is Wednesday, June 22nd, and today we are asking whether Bitcoin |
0:29.3 | miners are contributing to the market's price troubles. Before we get into that, however, |
0:35.0 | if you are enjoying the breakdown, please go subscribe to it, |
0:38.2 | give it a rating, give it a review, or if you want to dig deeper into the conversation, |
0:42.8 | come join us on the breakers Discord. You can find a link in the show notes or go to bit.ly |
0:47.6 | slash breakdown pod. Also, a disclosure, as always, in addition to them being a sponsor of the show, |
0:53.3 | I also work with FTX. |
0:55.6 | So for the past couple of days, we have been discussing the state of the markets. |
1:00.6 | The debate has sort of been whether we've reached a local bottom, something where we're likely to see |
1:05.5 | a mean reversion or at least some sustained relief rally, or whether more broadly we're transitioning to a sort of |
1:12.8 | protracted bottom phase. So far, we've discussed this largely in terms of three things. First, |
1:19.9 | the larger macro landscape. How a secular shift in monetary policy is creating the context |
1:26.5 | for basically all downturns across all asset |
1:29.2 | classes. Second, we've been discussing crypto-specific failures and problems. So this is the |
1:34.9 | Terralunas of the world, the Celsius story, the 3AC story. And in each case, there is a shared |
1:40.8 | through line, which is leverage unwinding and opaque institutions that have |
1:45.1 | sometimes big tie-ups to one another that we didn't previously know about. Third, we've also been |
1:50.3 | looking at data about how different market participants have been reacting, most notably a fairly |
1:55.8 | significant capitulation in the period leading up to and around the crash that happened Friday into Saturday. |
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