Bonus - Prediction Markets and the Financialization of Death w/ Sam Biddle and Jay Caspian Kang (Preview)
American Prestige
Daniel Bessner & Derek Davison
4.8 • 1.2K Ratings
🗓️ 11 January 2026
⏱️ 10 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | You're listening to American Prestige. To listen ad-free, you can subscribe at Americanprostagepod.com. Find the link in our show notes. |
| 0:11.6 | So just a question, when it was run through universities, were ordinary citizens allowed to basically make wagers on what would happen? Or was that not allowed? |
| 0:20.8 | No, they were, but it was quite cat, if that makes sense. |
| 0:23.6 | So the most you could bet, I think, was $400 bucks on any result. |
| 0:28.0 | And I remember this because, you know, I have a lot of friends who are gamblers, |
| 0:32.3 | and they had a very intense idea of who was going to win the Eric Adams mayoral election and like their main |
| 0:40.3 | they're we were all wrong by the way we all thought Catherine Garcia was going to go |
| 0:44.3 | I didn't do this I didn't bet on it because you know I'm a journalist or whatever but my friends |
| 0:49.0 | were trying to pile as much money on Garcia as possible and the problem was that like |
| 0:53.7 | there's only so many times you can bet |
| 0:55.0 | $400, right, through different accounts or whatever. And in that way, it was a little bit more, |
| 1:02.1 | it wasn't like what it is now where these markets have like hundreds of thousands, |
| 1:06.7 | sometimes millions of dollars in them to provide liquidity and to provide action. |
| 1:13.7 | Were there ever any guardrails, like there's a qualitative difference to me |
| 1:17.5 | between a bunch of people betting on the New York mayoral election and who's going to win, |
| 1:22.7 | and people putting bets on, is the United States going to invade Venezuela by the end of January |
| 1:28.9 | 2026? And that's why we're talking about this because there were bets made on, I think |
| 1:35.2 | it was Polymarket maybe, but right before the Nicholas Maduro operation that suggests that |
| 1:43.0 | somebody was betting based on information that the, |
| 1:47.3 | the operation was about to take place. |
| 1:50.3 | That leaving aside the, you know, whatever that is, |
| 1:54.7 | I don't even know if you can call it insider trading, |
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