4.8 • 670 Ratings
🗓️ 30 June 2020
⏱️ 3 minutes
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What level of Leverage should you use?
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0:00.0 | Just talking about leverage and volatility and things like that, I mean, given the changes |
0:09.9 | we've seen over the years and also where the CTA industry and the trend following industry |
0:14.7 | came from in terms of return expectations, volatility, you know, expectations, so on and so forth. |
0:21.7 | In your opinion, what is a good range for a trend following system today in terms of, |
0:31.6 | you know, return expectations and volatility? |
0:35.2 | What would you say is a number where people should certainly be very comfortable investing |
0:42.4 | in something like that, given what we just talked about? |
0:47.3 | I mean, in terms of Vol, you see CTA is starting at like 5 Vol, which is not where I'd like to be but like very very low yeah |
0:58.0 | and you see them go up to like 30 vol I mean there are some very successful 30 vol funds out there |
1:04.9 | and and you know I think they're great it's just I, if you go higher than 30, if you go 40, 50, |
1:14.6 | vol, then at that point you're in an area where there's just a lot of risk, a lot of risk of |
1:21.9 | just suffering from one bad event that takes you out of the game and then your chips are gone and you can no |
1:29.6 | longer play so that would be too risky for me but um say you know anything between for me between |
1:38.8 | 15 and 25 kind of like that checks the box um That's where I'm comfortable with things. |
1:46.4 | Yeah. |
1:46.8 | What about you, Jerry? |
1:49.2 | Well, once again, I think 10 to 15. |
1:55.7 | Our research, if it's pure trend following, |
1:59.9 | it has a tendency to have a drawdown about twice as large |
2:02.8 | as the return. |
2:04.8 | So the perurbial 8% return, 16% drawdown or something like probably going to be a little |
2:12.1 | bit bigger, that's, you know, that's 5% shoot for 5% above risk-free. |
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