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Science Quickly

Big Earthquakes May Be More Likely During New and Full Moons

Science Quickly

Scientific American

Science

4.41.4K Ratings

🗓️ 27 September 2016

⏱️ 2 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

When the sun, moon and Earth are aligned, high tidal stress may increase the chances that an earthquake will grow bigger than it otherwise might have been. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is Scientific American 62nd Science.

0:04.6

I'm Julia Rosen.

0:05.9

Got a minute?

0:07.4

Every two weeks on the full and new moons, the sun, moon, and Earth fall along a nearly

0:12.2

straight line.

0:13.7

The combination of gravitational forces in this arrangement creates large swings in the tides.

0:19.3

But the celestial alignment affects more than the oceans.

0:22.3

It also tugs on Earth's crust, adding to the stress

0:25.2

on faults. This makes it more likely that major earthquakes will strike at these times,

0:30.0

according to a new study. The idea isn't new, but scientists have had a hard time

0:34.4

testing the earthquake tide relationship. For instance, three of the largest earthquakes

0:39.1

in recent years happened when tidal stress was high. But those big ones are rare and the link seems to break down

0:45.1

for smaller events.

0:46.7

So the researchers crunched a bunch of numbers.

0:49.2

By looking at more than 10,000 medium and large earthquakes,

0:52.4

they found that the proportion of large events

0:54.6

increased when tidal stress was high.

0:57.2

The results do not imply that every full or new moon will bring an earthquake, obviously.

1:01.8

What the findings mean is that high tidal stress

1:04.2

during newer full moons may up the chances

1:06.8

that an earthquake will grow bigger than it otherwise

1:09.0

might have been.

...

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