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The World Next Week

Biden Confronts Iran, China’s Lunar New Year Economic Slowdown, Pakistan’s Flawed Elections, and More

The World Next Week

Council on Foreign Relations

Politics, News, News:politics

4.6845 Ratings

🗓️ 1 February 2024

⏱️ 27 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Joe Biden administration contends with how to respond to a deadly attack on U.S. service members at a base in Jordan while also preventing a wider regional war; a faltering economy clouds festivities as millions of Chinese travel home for Lunar New Year; Pakistan will elect a new prime minister and National Assembly, but lackluster candidates, economic crisis, and unraveling security situation loom over the vote; and Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger announce their withdrawal from the Economic Community of West African States, increasing security concerns in western Africa.   Mentioned on the Podcast   Noah Berman and Clara Fong, “Pakistan Is on Edge Ahead of 2024 Elections,” CFR.org   Joshua Kurlantzick, “Pakistan’s Election Will Have One Major Winner: The Military,” CFR.org   For an episode transcript and show notes, visit The World Next Week at: https://www.cfr.org/podcasts/biden-confronts-iran-chinas-lunar-new-year-economic-slowdown-pakistans-flawed-elections

Transcript

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0:00.0

In the coming week, President Biden confronts Mideast military escalation.

0:05.0

Millions are traveling for China's Lunar New Year amid dim economic news, and Pakistan holds

0:10.5

a tense general election.

0:12.4

It's February 1st, 2020, in time for the world next week. I'm Bob McMahon.

0:28.0

And I'm Carl Ann Robbins.

0:29.6

Carlo, let's jump on the prevailing headline theme of the day, which is the response or the aftermath of the drone attack by what's described

0:40.3

as Iranian-backed militias on the U.S. military post in northeast Jordan. This is an attack in which

0:47.3

three U.S. soldiers were killed. It was the first known deadly attack on U.S. service members

0:52.9

since the war in Gaza began in October. Now, President

0:56.4

Biden has said that Iran is responsible for supplying the weapons. He also announced the U.S.

1:02.0

is going to respond and used a formulation that makes it clear that it will be happening

1:07.6

in a way that the U.S. is going to decide on, so something will happen, but at a time

1:12.4

in place of the U.S. choosing. So what is all this say about where the U.S. finds itself, and is it

1:17.9

caught in a bit of an escalation trap in this region? Yes. I don't think the president has any

1:23.3

choice but to respond. The question is whether he and his advisors can find a balance that

1:27.7

helps deter or seriously constrained future Iranian proxy attacks. And that means deterring

1:33.7

Tehran itself and without tipping the region into a much wider war. But this really is a

1:40.1

split-screen moment while the White House is weighing what military action to take.

1:44.4

And we have to be clear here. We're recording this Thursday morning, so the first steps may

1:48.6

happen even before our podcast drops. But the U.S. is also very focused on what it can do to

1:54.2

suspend the fighting in Gaza or help suspend the fighting in Gaza and eventually move toward a

1:58.9

larger diplomatic deal. And that current proposal,

...

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