Bet THIS Longshot for NFL Offensive Player Of the Year (with Ryan Reynolds, Episode 373)
Establish The Run Fantasy Football
Fantasy Football
4.7 • 1.5K Ratings
🗓️ 19 May 2022
⏱️ 35 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
The NFL Award betting markets are some of the softest around. Adam Levitan, Evan Silva, and awards specialist Ryan Reynolds talk through their favorite bets.
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Show Notes
In this episode, we discuss:
- MVP Betting
- Rookie of year
- Coach of Year
- Comeback Player of Year
- Tons more
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- Underdog Best Ball Rankings - https://establishtherun.com/etrs-top-300-for-underdogfantasy/
- Silva’s Top 150 - https://establishtherun.com/evan-silvas-top-150/
- Dynasty Rankings - https://establishtherun.com/2022-dynasty-rankings/
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Timestamps:
3:38 - Approaching the MVP Market
10:48 - Offensive Player of the Year
15:55 - Coach of the Year
22:05 - Offensive Rookie of the Year
27:51 - Comeback Player of the Year
31:48 - Defensive Rookie of the Year
Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | Hello and welcome to episode 373 of The Official, established to run.com podcast. |
| 0:22.0 | My name is Adam Levittan, as always joined by Evan Silva also today joined. |
| 0:28.3 | Time friend of the show King of the Awards, King of the Waiver Wire. You know him. You love him. |
| 0:33.9 | Ryan Reynolds, Ryan, how are you buddy? Good man pleasure to be back gentlemen. Indeed pleasure to have you. Evan Reynolds looks |
| 0:43.4 | like he's broadcasting live from Sing Sing. Are you are you in the same cell cell block as Billy Walters? |
| 0:51.3 | No, they got me an isolation here man. If you guys. If you guys aren't aware you can view these shows on YouTube if you can |
| 1:02.7 | stand to see our disgusting faces and yes, Ryan's background does look like a prison but he's in good shape. No matter what Evan good |
| 1:10.6 | afternoon. How's it going? It's going great. I think early April we did a win total show. We're going to do another one June sometime before the |
| 1:20.3 | season, but today we're going to be talking about awards. Yeah, it's going to be one show. Ryan has this down to I mean he's had some killer takes on awards over the |
| 1:32.8 | last couple years. Yeah, market is soft, man. Awards market is soft and you can build the portfolio. So what I like to do is start betting some long |
| 1:40.5 | shots, start getting some really good numbers early in the year and then as a year goes on, Ryan continues to follow the market and write about it. |
| 1:47.1 | There's just really soft. Anyways, as Evan mentioned on today's show, we're talking awards. We're talking MVP defensive player of the year offensive rookie, the year come back player of the year, |
| 1:57.1 | et cetera, et cetera, before we get into all that, I got to start here this summer, you're going to hear a ton about fantasy rankings about hot takes and and |
| 2:06.8 | honestly like so much of it is just straight up bullshit like anyone with an internet connection can come up with rankings for fantasy football and that's |
| 2:14.9 | what's happened, you know, that's cool. I just I can't stress enough how seriously we take the process. Evan and I put together this entire team of analysts and data virgins to follow and analyze the news so we can keep our rankings and projections in a good place as we approach the season like we're constantly debating all the rankings projections we have for the players, how they pair, how they fit against each other and like that's the base for all of our own drafts, best ball season long props, et cetera, you know, that's what we're using for all of this. |
| 2:45.2 | We have two versions of the draft kit on sale now. There's a $29 version, which covers season long drafts only, which is basically like what you need for like your homely against your buddies. Then there's a $49 pro version, everything in the draft kit plus season long props, dynastie, best ball and then in season rest is season 150. |
| 3:03.6 | The love god, help me feed my kids $49 for the pro version. Finally, this podcast is indeed sponsored by underdog fantasy. They have $10 million, best ball tournament this season $25 buy in anyone who gets our draft kit pro. I repeat, if you get the pro version of the draft kit, whether you have an underdog count yet or not, you'll get a free $10 in your account more details on that coming in June. If you do need an underdog count $10. I'm sorry, matching deposit bonus up to $100. Take their money, use our rankings. |
| 3:33.6 | Actually, there's a ton of fun to do underdog drafts. All right, awards. Ryan, let's get into it here into it here at the MVP market. We know historically speaking, you almost have to be a quarterback to win MVP. I understand Adrian Peterson wanted once, but man, I can't fathom betting on anything except a quarterback to win the MVP. Ryan, can you make a case for any non quarterback or you just scratch off all the non quarterbacks on the list for MVP for me, especially before the season. I just ignore them entirely in season. If someone's going crazy with glass, you're |
| 4:03.6 | going to pick up at least put himself in a position where he wasn't drawn dead at it. But otherwise, you know, if he didn't win if Randy Mosston went in 2007, I'm pretty much going to ignore that at least before the season favorite in this market is Josh Allen at seven to one on draft Kings. By the way, I'm going to refer to draft Kings prices here. Ryan has done some line shopping. Also, though, there's some wide, wide, wide ranges. And by the way, if you go to establish your run dot com slash offers, you'll see ways to get on all these books that have these |
| 4:33.6 | weight, like I'll talk about some price that I got before. And Ryan will talk about some two. It's just huge discrepancies. And that's one of the reasons so soft. But anyways, on draft Kings, Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, Aaron Rogers, Tom Brady are the top five choices to be your MVP. I think looking, there's not a lot of value on those at this point. I don't think I think we want to be taking shots on some longer shots. Ryan, what are your general thoughts right now on the MVP market? I agree with you there right now. It's a time to take long shots. |
| 5:03.6 | And then once we get closer to the season, maybe take maybe back something up with some of the favorites that have easy schedule runs to start the season with, for instance, Aaron Rogers is a pretty attractive opening schedule, but too long shots. I'm interested in. We've talked about this before. |
| 5:19.6 | Aaron Hurts is still at a good price. You get about 45 to one at Fox bet 40 to one on Caesars. They open in Detroit, they host the Vikings on my money football, and they go to Washington, then they host Jacksonville, three and one sounds very reasonable. They have the second easiest schedule at anyone on the whole league in general. |
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