#BESTOF2022: #HotelMars: NASA, Artemis, Risk Tolerance and the Lost Golden Age of the 1960s. Rand Simberg, author, Safe Is Not an Option.
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 14 November 2023
⏱️ 11 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Safe Is Not an Option Paperback – October 31, 2013 by Rand E. Simberg (Author), William Simon (Editor), Ed Lu (Foreword)
https://www.amazon.com/Safe-Not-Option-Rand-Simberg/dp/0989135519/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=
The history of exploration and establishment of new lands, science and technologies has always entailed risk to the health and lives of the explorers. Yet, when it comes to exploring and developing the high frontier of space, the harshest frontier ever, the highest value is apparently not the accomplishment of those goals, but of minimizing, if not eliminating, the possibility of injury or death of the humans carrying them out.
For decades since the end of Apollo, human spaceflight has been very expensive and relatively rare (about 500 people total, with a death rate of about 4%), largely because of this risk aversion on the part of the federal government and culture. From the Space Shuttle, to the International Space Station, the new commercial crew program to deliver astronauts to it, and the regulatory approach for commercial spaceflight providers, our attitude toward safety has been fundamentally irrational, expensive and even dangerous, while generating minimal accomplishment for maximal cost.
This book entertainingly explains why this means that we must regulate passenger safety in the new commercial spaceflight industry with a lighter hand than many might instinctively prefer, that NASA must more carefully evaluate rewards from a planned mission to rationally determine how much should be spent to avoid the loss of participants, and that Congress must stop insisting that safety is the highest priority, for such insistence is an eloquent testament to how unimportant they and the nation consider the opening of this new frontier.
1963
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | At G.S.K, we believe that prevention is the best medicine. Prevention is pioneering new medicines to reduce |
| 0:07.2 | HIV transmission, applying decades of experience and asthma control to limit long-term lung damage or stopping chronic |
| 0:14.2 | conditions from progressing to more serious complications because preventing |
| 0:17.9 | disease is the best possible outcome for all of us and is why GSK unites science, technology and talent to get ahead of disease together. |
| 0:27.0 | Visit gSK.com to learn more. You're going to be. This is a series I on the world. |
| 0:45.0 | Hotel Mars episode and I'm John Bachelor with David Livingston, my colleague and co-host and co-pilot. |
| 0:53.8 | And we take Hotel Mars to speak to a colleague of ours who is a helpmate when it comes to |
| 1:01.1 | NASA and the transformation of NASA from the risk-taking |
| 1:06.4 | high-end product of the 1960s and 70s that reached the moon |
| 1:11.8 | to what we see today displayed in the launch of the SLS, |
| 1:17.6 | which has not launched yet, which is scheduled to launch later or this week. However, the questions are raised about six years |
| 1:26.2 | over due or ten years overdue, twenty billion dollars, and 70s technology in part meeting a core that is a giant to perceive but so |
| 1:39.1 | expensive this one doesn't return as another space company can return a booster and in fact is meant |
| 1:47.2 | to fly just once. |
| 1:48.5 | So what are we achieving? |
| 1:49.6 | We've been to the moon, if we're going back to the Moon, how often? And those questions comport with |
| 1:56.1 | other news we have from why the SLS did not launch earlier has to do with a sensor that the engineers no longer trust that can't be easily |
| 2:06.4 | replaced unless you roll back to the VAB. |
| 2:09.8 | We welcome Ran Simburg, our colleague of many years, who observes NASA and its transformation |
| 2:16.4 | from the point of view of his book, which I highly recommend, |
| 2:20.9 | Safe is not an option overcoming the futile obsession with getting everyone back alive |
| 2:26.4 | that is killing our expansion into space. |
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