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The John Batchelor Show

#Bestof2022: 1/2: "Three body problem" of Newtonian Physics: Arms control between three near peer nuclear weapon military powers." Anton La Guardia, Economist

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 12 September 2023

⏱️ 11 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

#Bestof2022: 2/2: "Three body problem" of Newtonian Physics: Arms control between three near peer nuclear weapon military powers." Anton La Guardia, Economist
https://www.economist.com/united-states/2022/11/29/how-will-america-deal-with-three-way-nuclear-deterrence

Photo 1945 Yalta

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is CBS Eye on the World. I'm John Bachelors, nuclear weapons in the 21st century.

0:11.0

Reuters in Moscow, Moscow said it had been left with, quote, no other choice but to cancel

0:17.1

talks with the United States about the, quote, news start nuclear weapons control treaty

0:23.0

according to Russian state news media.

0:26.1

By and large went the statement, the situation was such that we had no other choice.

0:30.8

The decision was made at the political level. At the same time from the US, we have this

0:37.1

intelligence that Reuters again, China likely to have 1,500 nuclear warheads by 2035 Pentagon.

0:45.6

It is a quandary. Two nuclear powers as adversaries to the United States nuclear.

0:53.2

Welcome Anton LaGuardia, the diplomatic editor of the Economist magazine, to help us sort

0:59.2

out Russia threat, China threat. What is to be done about arms control in the 21st century?

1:07.3

We begin with Russia, however, because in these last days significant voices in the US,

1:13.7

I'm thinking immediately of Admiral Charles Richard commander, the commander right now

1:19.8

looking at stratcoms, a threat, a posture saying that Ukraine is just the warm up to a conflict

1:28.0

ahead. He called it the big one. Anton, a very good day to you. We can be alarmed anytime

1:34.5

we look at Ukraine, but stepping back 20,000 feet, we're also looking at the nuclear

1:40.1

arsenals of three powers. Let us begin with Russia's nuclear arsenal. These new start talks.

1:47.0

The Russians say all the US wanted to do was talk about inspections. What is new start

1:52.1

in the 21st century? What does it mean to the US and to Russia? Good day to you.

1:57.6

Hi, John. Good to be with you. New start is the last major arms control treaty between

2:05.4

the US and Russia. US and Russia stockpiles came down after the Cold War, but they still

2:12.8

account for about 90% of the world's nuclear stockpiles. New start runs till 2026 and then

2:22.0

you can't renew it. They've been talking about what will follow it and the war in Ukraine

...

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