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Stansberry Investor Hour

Be Greedy and Let Your High-Quality Winners Run

Stansberry Investor Hour

Stansberry Research

America, How, To, Crash, Money, Learn, Stansberry, Income, Research, Debt, Stocks, Porter, Business, Realestate, Banking, Investment, American, Investing, Invest, Howtosave, Sjuggerud, Ferris, Eifrig, Jubilee, Buck, Sexton, Market, Bonds, Churchouse, Savings, Options, Lashmet

4.4677 Ratings

🗓️ 8 July 2024

⏱️ 64 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On this week's Stansberry Investor Hour, Dan and Corey are joined by their colleague Whitney Tilson. Whitney is the lead editor on Stansberry's Investment Advisory – Stansberry Research's flagship newsletter – as well as Commodity Supercycles and his free e-letter Whitney Tilson's Daily. Once dubbed "The Prophet" by CNBC for his prescient calls, he joins the podcast to share some financial wisdom with listeners. 

Whitney kicks off the show by talking about the value of attending investing conferences and other company meetings. You can gain insights, talk to fellow investors, share ideas, and either discover promising trends or discover which trends are "bombs." Whitney emphasizes that avoiding calamities is just as important as finding the next big investment idea. He shares his experience with short selling and how he actually lost a lot of money by employing the technique. This leads to a conversation about value traps – what they are and how they can lead to ruin. (1:24)

Next, Whitney details his storied history with Netflix and why he went from shorting the company to investing in it. Ultimately, he found a 90-bagger. But he sold the stock early and left money on the table. The "most important lesson" he learned from that experience is to let your winners run. As Whitney explains, that's why index funds outperform almost all active managers over a long period of time – because they never sell their winners. (16:40)

Finally, Whitney hammers home that investors should be selective with stocks and only buy the best-quality businesses. Many of these companies see large drawdowns at some point, which can be perfect buying opportunities... even if you're not able to find the exact bottom. Whitney predicts that Nvidia could see a sizable drop since the company is relatively young and volatile. After, he shares that value stocks, small-cap stocks, and international stocks are all at 20-plus-year lows. This extreme underperformance presents an opportunity for investors wanting to diversify their portfolios. And Whitney also breaks down how to spot a high-quality business that may be struggling in the short term versus a value-trap business that will only head lower. (35:02)

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome to the Stansberry Investor Hour. I'm Dan Ferris. I'm the editor of Extreme Value and the Ferris Report, both published by Stansberry Research. And I'm Corey McLaughlin, editor of the Stansberry Daily Digest. Today we're going to talk with Stansberry's Investment Advisory lead editor, Whitney Tilsson. Whitney has been a friend of ours and a colleague for many years now.

0:23.6

I attended many of his value investing Congresses.

0:27.6

It was one of the best conferences I ever attended.

0:30.6

Lots of great ideas, lots of great presentations.

0:33.6

Many of them, Whitney's own.

0:35.6

He's had a lot of great ideas over the years.

0:38.8

He's been around.

0:39.9

He's managed money.

0:41.3

He travels the world.

0:42.4

He's an adventurer.

0:45.5

There's a lot to talk about when we get Whitney in the house.

0:46.4

Indeed.

0:48.4

Yeah, we caught up with him in Italy.

0:55.2

And this conversation I'm really looking forward to sharing with everyone and talks a lot about lessons he's learned over his career, you know, running money, a hedge fund and letting

1:01.8

winners run and figuring out what the difference is between an actual value trap as you asked

1:07.1

him and I had to determine that and a lot more. So it's a really good conversation.

1:12.0

Absolutely.

1:12.7

Let's get to it, man.

1:13.9

Let's talk with the one and only Whitney Tilsen, our friend and colleague.

1:17.4

Let's do it right now.

1:24.1

Whitney, it's great to see you again.

1:26.7

Welcome back to the show. Thank you so much for having me.

...

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