Are We in a Recession?
On The Market
BiggerPockets
4.8 • 858 Ratings
🗓️ 29 August 2024
⏱️ 35 minutes
🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS
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| 0:00.0 | A couple weeks ago, economic alarm bells went off when this key economic indicator signaled that the U.S. might be in a recession. |
| 0:07.4 | And this was followed by a bunch of articles, analysis, hot takes, people were talking about it. |
| 0:13.3 | But the fact is the way that recessions work, at least officially in the United States, is that we don't know if we're in one and if a recession is happening |
| 0:22.1 | until months after it starts and maybe not until after it ends. |
| 0:27.2 | So we're actually just living in this sort of economic gray area. |
| 0:31.7 | And today we're going to break down different analyses that are out there and give our |
| 0:36.1 | own thoughts on whether or not we're in a |
| 0:38.2 | recession. |
| 0:43.8 | Hey, everyone, it's Dave. |
| 0:45.4 | Welcome to On the Market. |
| 0:46.8 | I'm really looking forward to our discussion today because I have my two friends here |
| 0:51.6 | today, Kathy Fecky and Henry Washington. |
| 0:54.8 | Kathy, how are you? |
| 0:56.0 | Wonderful. |
| 0:56.8 | Excited to talk about this. |
| 0:58.6 | And Henry, how's your day going, man? |
| 1:01.2 | Fantastic. |
| 1:02.1 | What's up, folks? |
| 1:02.9 | Just to set the stage before we jump into our little conversation debate, the economic |
| 1:07.8 | indicator that, quote, unquote, went off, the flag that went up, is something called the SOM rule, S-A-H-M. |
| 1:14.7 | It was theorized by economist Claudia SOM. |
| 1:17.9 | And basically, this rule looks at the unemployment rate and how quickly it's going up. |
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