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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Are We Fated to Stagflation?

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Investing, Business News, News, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 22 July 2022

⏱️ 39 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The European Central Bank announced an expectations-beating half-point interest-rate hike today, at the same time introducing a “tool” to ensure borrowing costs in vulnerable economies don’t spiral out of control, as central banks continue to fight inflation. Weston Nakamura drops in at the top of today’s Daily Briefing for an update on the Bank of Japan’s divergence from its peers, coining the phrase “yield spread control” to highlight a critical split at the heart of the global financial system. And former IMF economist and Wall Street strategist David Woo, now writing at DavidWooUnbound.com, joins Maggie Lake to talk about the ECB, softening U.S. economic data ahead of next week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting, and the implications of a crumbling Chinese credit market. Are we fated for a stagflationary future? David and Maggie address that question and many more as the countdown to Fed Week continues. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:57.1

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1:07.9

Hi everyone, welcome to the real vision daily briefing. It's Wednesday, July 21st, 2022,

1:13.5

and today was all about the central banks. The Europeans hiked, the Japanese did not,

1:18.4

and weak US data raised serious questions about the Fed's policy. What does it all mean for the

1:23.8

markets and the economy here to discuss is David Wu, macro strategist and founder of David Wu

1:29.6

Unbound and our very own Weston Nakamura. Great to see both of you. Weston, let's just jump

1:36.1

right in and start with you. The European Central Bank move seems like it's further isolating Japan

1:42.0

and its insistence on keeping rates negative as you had been pointing out all the time on Twitter.

1:47.6

So what jumped out at you from both of these decisions? So help us unpack them.

1:51.4

You know, Jay, you know, nothing changed, policy unchanged. They basically have yield curve

1:58.1

control in place. 25 basis points is the upper bound for yield curve control on 10 year JDB.

...

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