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Motley Fool Money

Are Retail Stocks a Bargain?

Motley Fool Money

The Motley Fool

Business, Investing

4.43K Ratings

🗓️ 15 April 2025

⏱️ 31 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

“A pessimist is correct oftener than an optimist, but an optimist has more fun, and neither can stop the march of events,” Robert Heinlein. (00:14) Jim Gillies Ricky Mulvey and discuss: - Fund managers cutting their positions in US stocks. - How long-term investors should react to fear in the markets. - If Abercrombie & Fitch’s stock deserves to be in the bargain bin. (19:02) Then, Robert Brokamp joins Ricky to discuss what your tax return reveals about your finances. Companies and tickers discussed: ASO, ANF, XRT Learn more about the Range Rover Sport at www.rangerover.com/us/sport Host: Ricky Mulvey Guests: Jim Gillies, Robert Brokamp Producer: Mary Long Engineer: Rick Engdahl Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Fear is back in the market. You're listening to Motley Full Money.

0:13.7

I'm Ricky Mulvey, joined today by Jim Gillies. Jim, it is so good to see you on the internet.

0:18.0

Thanks for being here. Thank you, Ricky.

0:22.1

Let's, I want to talk about this fund manager story. So fund managers are pessimistic. Bloomberg reported a Bank of America

0:27.8

survey that basically found that investor sentiment regarding economic prospects is the most negative

0:34.0

in three decades. Fund managers are dramatically moving out of United States stocks.

0:39.9

They were 17% overweight in February and now a net 36% underweight in April. That's a move

0:47.6

of about 50%. What's your reaction to that? And is there any notes that regular investors,

0:54.0

us retail folks,

0:55.1

should be taking from this move? Sure. I'm probably going to give some conflicting stories this

1:01.3

week, but they are what they are. Whenever I hear the word pessimist, I'm always reminded of

1:07.0

my favorite science fiction author, Robert A. Heinle, who said a pessimist is correct,

1:11.9

oftener than an optimist, but an optimist has more fun and neither can stop the march of events.

1:16.9

So I understand the pessimism, but I choose to be an optimist. And this concept of underweight

1:23.6

U.S. stocks versus overweight versus, you know, I hope most individual investors aren't bothering

1:30.8

with that type of thinking. I'm a fan of hedging with cash in your portfolio. I'm a fan of

1:38.2

moving slow, acting slow. I'm a fan of long-term thinking and of not getting terribly specific with allocations,

1:48.4

which this seems to be. I understand the pessimism regarding economic prospects. I believe we'll

1:55.3

talk more about that. But the overarching reality I like to remind myself to be the optimist in pessimistic times.

2:03.9

What I like to remember is the quote from Shelby Davis, which is you make most of your money in bear markets.

2:09.8

You just don't realize it at the time.

2:12.3

And time and again, that has proven beneficial for me.

...

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