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The Playbook Podcast

April 5, 2022: Why Biden’s base is in distress

The Playbook Podcast

POLITICO

Daily News, Politics, Government, News

4.2614 Ratings

🗓️ 5 April 2022

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Democrats are desperately trying to understand what’s roiling the electorate heading into a brutal midterm environment. HIT Strategies has been conducting weekly focus groups to find out in real time how Americans are processing events in 2022. On Monday night we watched discussions with two different subgroups of partisan Democrats assembled by the firm: “Black Base, Always vote for Dems, Ages 25+” and “Youth Base; Always vote for Dems, Ages 25 – 39.” There were significant differences within and between the two groups of nine voters. But there were also some broad takeaways. Subscribe to the POLITICO Playbook newsletter Raghu Manavalan is the Host of POLITICO's Playbook.Jenny Ament is the Executive Producer of POLITICO Audio.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Presented by Amazon.

0:02.0

Hey, good morning, playbookers, I'm Roku-Munovulin. It's Tuesday. And here's a question for you.

0:07.2

Why do you think Biden's base is unhappy? It's your Politico Playbook Daily Briefing.

0:17.5

Democrats are trying to understand what's roiling the electorate heading into what looks like

0:21.7

a brutal midterm environment. HIT strategies has been conducting weekly focus groups to find out

0:27.6

in real time how Americans are processing events in 2022. Last night, team playbook watched discussions

0:33.2

with two different subgroups of partisan Democrats assembled by the firm. Group 1, Black Base always vote for the Dems, ages 25 and over.

0:40.7

And two, youth base always vote for the Dems, ages 25 to 39.

0:45.2

There were significant differences with them and between the two groups of nine voters,

0:48.8

but there were also some broad takeaways.

0:51.3

A preoccupation with inflation and crime, exhaustion with pandemic restrictions,

0:56.0

cynicism about politics, deep frustration that Biden and Democrats have failed to deliver on their

1:00.9

early promises, sympathy for Ukraine mixed with a lack of enthusiasm for Biden, spending too

1:06.3

much time and money on the issue, and ambiguity about how important January 6 should be for Democrats

1:11.4

in the midterms. These are sentiments picked up in recent polling. Biden's decline in approval

1:16.4

from black voters and millennials has been well documented, as of course has to rise in importance

1:21.5

of inflation, crime, and pandemic fatigue. But listening to these voters was still pretty instructive.

1:26.6

Watching three and a half hours, some, you notice a yawning gap between what

1:31.3

Democrats here in D.C. are saying and what their most loyal voters are experiencing

1:35.5

outside the Beltway. This was especially true on two big issues, one on the economy.

1:40.5

When the voters were asked to describe how they feel about how things are going,

1:43.7

they responded

...

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