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Bloomberg Surveillance

Alpha Generation Is Getting Much Harder, Gross Says

Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg

Investing, Business News, News, Business

3.81.2K Ratings

🗓️ 3 November 2017

⏱️ 40 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Bill Gross, a fund manager at Janus Henderson, says it's getting much harder to generate alpha and the Fed can't raise rates much further before it hurts the economy. Prior to that, Adam Posen, president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, says there's an 85 percent chance that the GOP tax proposal will go through. Finally, Joachim Fels, a global economic advisor at PIMCO, says we're stuck in the new neutral and there's no escape from the savings glut. 

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Business stories aren't just about business. They're also about policy, politics, finance, and more.

0:06.5

With Bloomberg, you stay informed on global coverage that connects the dots.

0:10.5

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0:16.7

podcasts and audio articles in the car. Download the Bloomberg Mobile App now to get started.

0:22.0

Find it in the Apple App Store or on Google Play.

0:24.7

Bloomberg in-car apps are sponsored by interactive brokers. Welcome to the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. I'm Tom Keene with David Gura.

0:44.7

Daily, we bring you insight from the best of economics,

0:47.8

finance, investment, and international relations.

0:50.8

Find Bloomberg Surveillance on Apple Podcasts, SoundCloud, Bloomberg.com, and of course, on the Bloomberg.

1:00.0

Right now, Dr. Pozen, Adam Pozen with us with the Peterson Institute.

1:06.4

I'm going to ask one question and let truly one of our Washington experts dive in here.

1:11.6

Adam the Peterson Institute will be writing about tax reform. What tact will you take?

1:17.0

Well, I have to do the disclaimer. Our individual scholars take each their own tack, but they're pretty much going to all agree

1:24.4

which is a this is much more about cuts than reform of the tax system be the in line

1:31.5

with what you were saying on TV before Tom that the claims of wage

1:36.5

improvements and job improvements in the short term are vastly exaggerated.

1:40.8

See there are a couple good things in there, like they move somewhat towards territoriality, the

1:48.0

cutbacks in the mortgage interest deduction, the expensive investment.

1:53.0

But D, as my colleague Jason Furman, among others has pointed out, the question is what are those pay-fors paying for?

1:59.0

And if they're just paying for, heavily tilted towards the rich on the personal tax side and not terribly

2:05.7

useful tax cuts on the corporate side it's not going to go very well.

2:10.4

For those of us who live in high tax states like New York and New Jersey, the state and local

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