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Macro Voices

All-Stars #71 Julian Brigden: Geopolitical risks, Chinese liquidity dynamics & “not” QE

Macro Voices

Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Business, Investing, Business:investing

4.83.4K Ratings

🗓️ 16 October 2019

⏱️ 14 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

All-Star Julian Brigden weighs in on the Saudi Arabia oil infrastructure attacks, Chinese liquidity, and the Fed’s QE that isn’t QE according to the Fed Link: http://bit.ly/33CcXFC

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is a special edition of Macrovoises with hedge fund manager Eric Townsend.

0:14.2

The premier financial podcast targeting professional finance, high net worth individuals, family

0:19.8

offices, and other sophisticated investors.

0:23.0

Now for this special edition of Macrovoises, here's hedge fund manager Eric Townsend.

0:30.0

Macrovoises All Stars episode 71 was recorded on October 14th, 2019.

0:36.8

I'm Eric Townsend.

0:38.5

Julian Brighdon is back with us this week.

0:41.2

Julian, it seems that geopolitical developments have really turned up since we last had you

0:46.3

on the program, particularly the attacks on a gag Saudi Arabia.

0:51.6

How does that impact your overall analysis of the market?

0:55.2

It's interesting you bring that up, Eric, because it was just actually a topic that we discussed.

1:00.8

We're just about to discuss with our Macro insider client base, the one we service with Radoel.

1:07.8

The reason why is because it really side swipes the movements in the market.

1:12.3

If you were particularly in the bond market, we'd had that huge, almost unprecedented duration grab.

1:19.2

Was that sort of convexly kicked in and forced anyone who had any bond exposed to just scramble

1:25.2

for duration over the summer?

1:27.1

Then we got down to some ridiculously overextended markets.

1:32.1

I was looking at just the RS, something stupid and simple, like the RSI of 10-year yields in the US,

1:37.8

got to the lowest level we'd seen in 20 years, which was the depths of the Asian crisis.

1:46.2

We started to get corrections in those, and they were relatively rapid in the same way that they were relatively rapid in yields falling.

1:53.7

The real started to spike. Then of course, we had events in Saudi Arabia, we had events with China trade stuff,

2:01.9

and we had, I guess you can call what was going on in Turkey as well.

...

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