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Goldman Sachs Exchanges

All about bank(panic)s and the implications for policy

Goldman Sachs Exchanges

Goldman Sachs

Business

4.41K Ratings

🗓️ 11 April 2023

⏱️ 31 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The recent banking turmoil in the U.S. and Europe triggered by the failure of Silicon Valley Bank — the largest bank failure since the 2008 financial crisis — seems to have abated, but questions remain about whether banking stress could resurge and what policymakers can do to prevent that. In the latest episode of Exchanges at Goldman Sachs, which is based on Goldman Sachs Research’s Top of Mind report, All about bank(panic)s, former policymakers Daniel Tarullo and Thomas Hoenig, and Yale’s Gary Gorton, explain the drivers behind the recent crisis, the potential for it to repeat, and what rules and regulations might help prevent that.

Transcript

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0:00.0

The recent banking turmoil in the US and Europe triggered by the failure of Silicon Valley Bank,

0:05.6

the largest bank failure since the 2008 financial crisis, seems to have calmed.

0:10.8

But questions remain about whether banking stress could we surge and what

0:15.1

policy makers can do to prevent that.

0:17.8

I'm Allison Nathan and this is exchanges at Goldman Sachs. On this special episode, we're breaking down our most recent top of mine report, now available

0:30.0

on GS.com.

0:31.5

We speak with former banking regulators and experts who have lived through

0:34.8

banking crises. Dan Tarulo, former Chairman of the Fed's Committee on Supervision and

0:39.6

Regulation, Tom Honegg, former President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and Vice Chairman of the

0:45.4

FDIC, and Gary Gorton, Professor at Yale University, who's written extensively on Bank Panics.

0:52.0

We first asked about the nature of the crisis and

0:54.4

whether it differed at all from past crises. As our bank analysts have

0:58.2

described on a recent podcast, banks face deposit outflows last year as companies found it more difficult to raise

1:05.1

cash in an environment of sharply rising interest rates. To meet those

1:09.6

outflows Silicon Valley Bank sold long-term treasuries it held on its balance sheet at a loss

1:16.3

since the value of those securities had plummeted as interest rates rose.

1:20.4

A capital raised to cover those losses failed and a significant run on

1:24.2

deposits occurred causing the bank to fail. And indeed Tarrillo describes the

1:29.0

recent crisis as a textbook bank run. Here he is. In broad terms there was nothing unusual about this bank run.

1:37.0

That is the bank run proceeded exactly as textbook suggests bank runs proceed.

1:43.5

There's a question raised with some piece of information

1:47.8

provoking the question or the uncertainty on the part of some depositor,

...

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