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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Adventures in Finance 41 - A Sea Change Could Be On The Fed’s Horizon

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business, Business News, News, Investing

4.21K Ratings

🗓️ 10 November 2017

⏱️ 63 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Is this a fork in the Fed’s road? President Trump has nominated Jerome Powell to be the next chair of the Federal Reserve. Whether Powell will continue down the same path of Janet Yellen, and Ben Bernanke before her, remains an open question. Danielle DiMartino Booth, a former advisor to Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher and author of Fed Up, says that Powell, in combination with other new faces at the central bank, could be poised to effect some serious change. Miles Kimball, professor of economics at the University of Colorado Boulder, isn’t so sure. The real debate, however, is how Fed ought to operate, particularly once the next crisis crops its head. Booth and Kimball emerge as polar opposites here, with Booth advising a retreat from unconventional policies designed to stimulate the economy, and Kimball recommending that the Fed take interest rates sharply negative in the next downturn. More broadly, Kimball is a fan of rigorous action from the Fed, while Booth would like to see more humility in the Eccles Building. Once the sides have been staked in the Fed debate, Booth takes her leave of this planet, and tells us what she would bring on a trip to Mars. And speaking of humility, Kimball closes out the episode by offering up something he got wrong. Interestingly, it concerns not finance, but fat. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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Hi, I'm Raal Pal, co-founder and CEO of Real Vision.

0:44.0

Thank you so much for listening to the Real Vision Podcast.

0:48.0

At Real Vision, we pride ourselves in providing the best in-depth expert analysis available to help you understand the complex world of

0:55.7

finance, business and the global economy. If you like what you hear, I hope you'll accept

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my invitation to try Real Vision Plus for 30 days for just one dollar.

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Visit real Vision Podcast.com today and join us as we navigate the financial world together.

1:12.0

Cheers. Since 1987 and the early days of the Greenspan era, when the new Fed chair took a series of extraordinary measures in response to Black Monday,

1:31.0

investors have slowly become conditioned to believe in what has become known as the

1:34.9

Central Bank put, a fancy name for an implicit backstop to any significant market decline

1:40.2

which the incumbent Fed Chair would use to ride to the rescue of falling markets.

1:45.8

The Greenspan put begat the Bernanke put which in turn morphed into the Yellen put and

1:50.4

along the way investors grew comfortable that were anything untoward the

1:55.0

immediate reaction of the Federal Reserve and its peers across the globe

1:58.8

would be to cut interest rates and in later years inject trillions of dollars in stimulus in order to

2:04.3

stabilize misbehaving asset prices. That backstop has been money good for 30

2:09.9

years but having reached the zero bound markets have begun at the margin at least to wonder

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