Advance Placement: SHOULD YOU STILL BUY STOCK IN A BEAR MARKET
Earn Your Leisure
EYL Network
4.8 • 7.8K Ratings
🗓️ 19 January 2023
⏱️ 9 minutes
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Summary
In this Advance Placement we go over the key things to look for when entering a Bull Market. The rise in interest rates, inverted yield curves, and is this the right time to buy stocks... #earnyourleisure #stockmarket #bullmarket #recession
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | When is a clear signal that the recession is over and the stock market should see a bold market |
| 0:07.9 | or a stock will turn bull. When is the recession going to be? When is the signal for the recession |
| 0:13.2 | that is over and what's the signal that we're going to see? Bull market. Yeah, that's a great question. |
| 0:18.9 | Number one, when the federal reserve stops hiking rates. So even if they pause, |
| 0:24.9 | that's not a good enough reason. They have to stop raising rates. Number two, |
| 0:28.4 | whenever that yield curve stops inverting. So I want everyone to put in shadow real time to do |
| 0:34.0 | the homework. What is the most important to yield curve in the bond market to measure if we |
| 0:39.8 | have a recession? Because I want to make this more interactive this year. And if you pair two |
| 0:46.2 | of them together, that's why I say if you trade stocks and bonds together or talk about it on |
| 0:50.6 | episode 70, you will know exactly where the market is going. The funny part is now when the yield |
| 0:55.5 | curve inverted this time, the bond market fell apart with it at the same time, which normally |
| 1:00.3 | does not happen, which leads me to the lessons that you have to always do your own research and do |
| 1:05.3 | and any conventional wisdom does not work when there's a black swan of it. So you have to be prepared |
| 1:12.2 | like even indexes, if all indexes fell at one time and the entire bond market fell and text, |
| 1:18.4 | what would you do? You have to prepare for the worst case scenario. For me, I was short author, |
| 1:23.9 | and I would never open up my TV image and look at my long term until the carnage was over, right? |
| 1:30.2 | But yield curve inverting interest rates. And then once again, I'm keeping my eyes peeled to see |
| 1:36.5 | when China will boom. I know they're reclassifying some of the COVID deaths to kind of play with the |
| 1:41.7 | numbers. But if I see like K-web and Ali Baba start to go up, we have a monster's run for like a |
| 1:48.2 | quarter or two. And I don't know that the recession is over. Maybe we will have a short-lived |
| 1:54.4 | recession because there's some politics behind the scenes that are stopping them from announcing it. |
| 2:00.0 | Maybe it will be short-lived, but the Fed has to stop raising interest rates and that yield |
... |
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