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Talking Real Money - Investing Talk

A Wild Ride

Talking Real Money - Investing Talk

Don McDonald

Business, Education, Investing, How To

4.2 • 680 Ratings

🗓️ 15 April 2025

⏱️ 43 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Wild market swings, political chaos, and investor confusion set the stage for this episode. Don and Tom break down the emotional impact of volatility, the myths of market timing, and the wisdom in sticking to long-term plans. With insights from Jason Zweig and some smart listener Q&A, they remind us that discipline—not prediction—is what builds wealth, even in uncertain times. 0:01 Intro with the 'interesting times' curse and the current market confusion 0:48 S&P 500 drops 10.5% in two days, bounces back 9.5%—market whiplash 1:33 How volatility overloads the brain and leads to bad decisions 2:28 Few people understand tariffs—uncertainty drives market instability 3:24 The idea of the market as a fourth branch of government 3:38 Why owning stocks long-term still makes sense 5:03 Investor panic: emotional decisions vs. rational plans 6:27 Jason Zweig's four questions for investors—clarity through chaos 8:13 Why you own stocks: not trade stability, but long-term growth 9:08 What's changed? Trust, tariffs, and long-term resilience 10:27 You earn the premium by enduring market fear 10:31 The emotional trap of anchoring and chasing returns 11:44 The fantasy of upside-only investing—and the danger of chasing it 13:04 Caller Jeff: Should I dollar-cost into ETFs or sell and buy all at once? 14:27 Advice: In a retirement account, just make the shift—it’s lateral 16:04 Caller Bill: Accidental portfolio drift and how to rebalance to 50/50 19:05 Simple ETF plan vs. target-date funds for retiring investors 20:37 Caller Joe: Real estate success and why stocks aren’t for everyone 27:09 The overlooked danger of foreign countries selling U.S. debt 30:24 Bond prices, interest rates, and currency impacts explained 32:04 U.S. credit rating vs. the world—and why diversification still matters 33:28 Tariff risks, political uncertainty, and long-term investing perspective 35:25 If you’ve invested right, you don’t need to react 39:04 Tom’s "work trip" vacation and Don flying solo next week Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

The five-pound meal deal from McDonald's.

0:02.7

Get a cheeseburger or mayo chicken,

0:04.7

medium fries, four McNuggets,

0:06.5

and a medium soft drink for guess what?

0:08.4

That's right, five pounds.

0:11.2

It's not called the five-pound meal deal for nothing.

0:14.8

From 11 a.m.

0:15.8

Not available on delivery.

0:16.8

Carbonated soft drink upgrade fees apply.

0:18.3

Participating restaurants, subjects, availability.

0:22.4

Reality Radio for a really great future.

0:25.4

We're talking real money.

0:27.9

May you live in interesting times.

0:32.2

An old, oh, not that old, an English expression that was falsely attributed to a Chinese curse because of the

0:39.2

apparent irony of interesting denoting troubled times as opposed to good times. And ladies and

0:47.6

gentlemen, I want to say the curse has come true. We live in interesting times, particularly

0:54.0

when it comes to economic, financial and investment news and information, because we've gone from a relatively calm couple of years in America and around the world to nothing short of abject confusion.

1:14.6

Nobody knows what's going on from one, not one day to the next, one hour to the next.

1:20.4

We got tariffs.

1:21.7

We got stuck.

1:22.3

It's that tight.

1:25.5

I got to say it.

...

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